Pittsburgh Pirates vs San Diego Padres Prediction 8-6-24 MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Pittsburgh Pirates vs San Diego Padres prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, August 6th at PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game one in the series.

Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 56-55 this year and they have lost three of their last four games. Pittsburgh is coming off of a series loss against Arizona, where they lost two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Pirates won two out of three against the Astros, lost two out of three against the Diamondbacks, and won two out of three against the Cardinals. Pittsburgh is 4-3 in their last seven games and they are tied for second in the NL Central. 

The Pittsburgh pitching staff has a 3.82 ERA, a 1.28 WHIP, and a .246 opponent batting average. The Pirates offense has scored 468 runs with a .233 batting average and a .301 on base percentage. Bryan Reynolds is batting .289 with 19 home runs and 66 RBI’s for the Pirates this season. 

San Diego Padres Betting Preview

The San Diego Padres are 61-52 this season and they have won four of their last five games. San Diego is coming off of a series win against Colorado, where they won two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Padres won both games against the Dodgers, won two out of three against the Orioles, and swept the Nationals in three games. San Diego is 11-2 in their last 13 games and they are second in the NL West. 

The San Diego pitching staff has a 4.01 ERA, a 1.23 WHIP, and a .240 opponent batting average. The Padres offense has scored 526 runs with a .264 batting average and a .324 on base percentage. Manny Machado is batting .272 with 17 home runs and 61 RBI’s for the Padres this season. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Pittsburgh is Bailey Falter, who is 5-7 with a 3.95 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP over 95.2 innings pitched this year. Falter has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for San Diego is Dylan Cease, who is 11-8 with a 3.42 ERA and a 0.99 WHIP over 136.2 innings pitched this season. Cease has allowed a total of one earned run in his last four starts (27.2 IP).

Why the Padres will beat the Pirates

• The Padres have won seven of their last eight road games.
• The Pirates have lost four of their last five night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Padres have covered the run line each of their last six road games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games against NL West opponents following a home loss.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Padres’ last six games against NL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Eight of the Pirates’ last 10 home games against NL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Padres’ last five games as favorites.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

• Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 11 appearances against NL West opponents.
• Joey Bart has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Pirates’ last five games against NL West opponents.
• Ke’Bryan Hayes has recorded at least one Single in each of the Pirates’ last six games as underdogs.
• Oneil Cruz has hit a home run in two of the Pirates’ last three games as underdogs against NL West opponents.
• Jared Triolo has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
• Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances against NL West opponents.
• Bryan Reynolds has scored a run in seven of his last eight appearances against NL West opponents.

San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts

• Xander Bogaerts has scored at least one run in each of the Padres’ last six road games.
• Dylan Cease has recorded a win in each of his last five road appearances against NL Central opponents.
• Dylan Cease has recorded eight or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances against NL opponents.
• Manny Machado has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Padres’ last four games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
• Luis Arraez has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight appearances with his team as a road favorite against NL opponents.
• Luis Arraez has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 13 appearances with his team as a road favorite against NL opponents.
• Luis Campusano has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Jurickson Profar has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances against NL Central opponents.
• Luis Arraez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances with his team as a road favorite against NL opponents.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs San Diego Padres Prediction 

San Diego continues to be one of the hottest teams in the MLB right now and they come into this series after winning 11 of their last 13 games. The Padres are 31-23 on the road, while the Pirates are 27-28 at home. Pittsburgh has also played well recently, but did struggle in two series against Arizona. The Padres have a huge advantage on the mound in this game, as Dylan Cease has been the hottest pitcher in baseball over the last two weeks, so my Pittsburgh Pirates vs San Diego Padres prediction is for the Padres to win by at least two runs.