Rangers vs Mariners Prediction 5/4/25 MLB Picks Today

The Seattle Mariners and the Texas Rangers meet Sunday in MLB action from Globe Life Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Rangers vs Mariners Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Seattle Mariners will send out Logan Evans for the start here and Evans is 1-0 with a 3.60 ERA and 3 strikeouts this season. This will be Evans’ first career start against the Rangers. The Texas Rangers will trot out Jacob deGrom for the start here and deGrom is 1-1 with a 2.73 ERA and 33 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Mariners, deGrom is 1-1 with a 2.66 ERA and 30 strikeouts.

Seattle Mariners Recap

The Seattle Mariners come into this game looking to build on their 2-1 win over the Rangers from Saturday’s matchup to improve their record to 20-12 on the year. After this series, the the Mariners will head on the road for a series against the Athletics.

Mariners Win Six Straight

Jorge Polanco has 30 hits including 9 home runs and 25 RBIs while Cal Raleigh has 31 hits with 7 doubles, a team-high 12 home runs and 23 RBIs. Randy Arozarena has 25 hits with 7 doubles, 5 home runs, 18 RBIs and 8 stolen bases. Julio Rodriguez also has 27 hits with a pair of triples, 5 home runs, 16 RBIs and 5 stolen bases. Dylan Moore has 6 homers and 5 stolen bases as well this season.

Why the Seattle Mariners will win

• The Mariners have won each of their last 10 day games against American League opponents.
• The Rangers have lost four of their last five games as favorites.
• The Mariners have covered the run line in each of their last 10 games as underdogs against AL West opponents.
• The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five day games against American League opponents.

Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts

• Randy Arozarena has recorded a Double in three of the Mariners’ last four games as underdogs against AL West opponents.
• Cal Raleigh has hit at least one home run in five of the Mariners’ last six games against the Rangers.
• J.P. Crawford has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight appearances after playing the previous day.
• J.P. Crawford has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances.
• Victor Robles has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
• Donovan Solano has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances with his team as an underdog against AL West opponents.
• Cal Raleigh ranks 1st in the league in Home Runs (12) this season.

Texas Rangers Recap

The Texas Rangers will be out to bounce back from their loss at the hands of the Seattle Mariners last time out, slipping to 16-18 on the year as a result. After this series, the Rangers will go out on the road for a series against the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park.

Rangers Struggle Offensively Once Again

Corey Seager has 23 hits including 4 home runs and 6 RBIs while Adolis Garcia has 24 hits with 7 doubles, 4 home runs, 15 RBIs and 4 stolen bases. Josh Jung has 25 hits with 5 doubles, while Wyatt Langford has 26 hits with 5 doubles, 6 home runs, 12 RBIs and 4 stolen bases and Jonah Heim has 4 homers and 10 RBIs. Leody Taveras also has a team-high 6 stolen bases as well on the year.

Why the Texas Rangers will win

• The Rangers have won each of their last six Sunday home games against American League opponents.
• The Mariners have lost eight of their last nine games as underdogs against the Rangers following a road win.
• The Rangers have covered the run line in nine of their last 11 games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games as road underdogs against the Rangers following a win.

Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts

• Corey Seager has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances with the Rangers as home favorites against the Mariners.
• Jacob deGrom has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
• Adolis Garcia has scored at least one run in each of the Rangers’ last seven games as home favorites against the Mariners.
• Corey Seager has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances in day games against AL teams that held a winning record.
• Jacob deGrom has recorded seven or more strikeouts in 11 of his last 12 appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
• Corey Seager has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven appearances against AL West opponents.
• Marcus Semien has recorded at least one hit in each of the Rangers’ last six games as home favorites.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Rangers’ last six day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Six of the Mariners’ last seven games have gone OVER the total runs line.

Rangers vs Mariners Prediction

I’m rolling with the Mariners in this one. I get why the Rangers would be favored with deGrom getting the nod in this game, and deGrom is still the Rangers’ staff ace. However, the Mariners don’t score enough to be able to trust them against anyone right now. While I have my concerns with Logan Evans in just his second major league start, I think he has the far more consistent offense behind him. The Mariners’ bullpen is on par with how good the Rangers’ Pen has been as well this year. Give me Seattle in this one.