Rangers vs Marlins Prediction 9/21/25 MLB Picks Today

The Miami Marlins and Texas Rangers meet Sunday in MLB action at Globe Life Field. Here’s a Rangers vs Marlins Prediction. This article will include a Rangers vs Marlins Pick.

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 75-80 on the year and play the Phillies and Mets next. The Miami Marlins are batting .252 on the season, have a .316 OBP, and a .396 slugging percentage. The Miami Marlins pitching staff has a 4.95 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP. Xavier Edwards leads the Miami Marlins with 151 hits and 40 RBI, while Otto Lopez and Agustin Ramirez have combined for 246 hits and 142 RBI.

Eury Perez gets the ball for the Miami Marlins, and he is 7-5 with a 4.40 ERA and 85 strikeouts this season. This will be Perez’s first career game against the Texas Rangers.

Texas Rangers Betting Preview

The Texas Rangers are 79-76 on the year and play the Twins and Guardians next. The Texas Rangers are batting .237 on the season, have a .306 OBP, and a .385 slugging percentage. The Texas Rangers pitching staff has a 3.45 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP. Josh Smith leads the Texas Rangers with 123 hits and 34 RBI while Wyatt Langford and Josh Jung have combined for 232 hits and 121 RBI.

Merrill Kelly gets the ball for the Texas Rangers, and he is 12-8 with a 3.46 ERA and 163 strikeouts this season. Kelly is 1-3 with a 5.50 ERA and 34 strikeouts in his career against the Miami Marlins.

Miami Marlins @ Texas Rangers Betting Trends: September 21, 2025

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Merrill Kelly      Record this season: 12-8      ERA: 3.46
• Home Record: 6-4
• Last 5 against Marlins: 1-2

Why the Texas Rangers will win

• The Rangers have won each of their last 10 Sunday games as home favorites.
• The Marlins have lost three of their last four day games against AL West opponents following a win.
• The Rangers have covered the run line each of their last five day games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Rangers have won the first inning in three of their last four day games against opponents that held a losing record.
• The Rangers have led after 3 innings in each of their last seven games as favorites against NL East opponents.
• The Rangers have led after 5 innings in each of their last five day games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Eury Perez      Record this season: 7-5      ERA: 4.40
• Road Record: 4-3
• Last 5 against Rangers: –

Why the Miami Marlins will win

• The underdogs have won each of the Rangers’ last seven games at Globe Life Field.
• The Rangers have lost each of their last five games as favorites.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Rangers’ last eight games at Globe Life Field.
• The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games against National League opponents following a loss.
• The Rangers have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last three day games against NL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Ten of the Rangers’ last 11 day games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Five of the Marlins’ last six road games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last six games.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Rangers’ last eight home games.

Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts

• Corey Seager has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances.
• Marcus Semien has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against the Marlins.
• Wyatt Langford has recorded a Double in three of his last four home appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Stowers has recorded at least one hit in each of his six previous appearances in day games against AL West teams that held a winning record.
• Kyle Stowers has hit a home run in four of his last 10 appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Rangers rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.45).
• The Rangers rank 1st in the league for runs allowed this season (576).
• The Marlins rank 4th in the league for strikeouts against this season (1194).
• The Marlins are one of only four teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and batting average this season.

Rangers vs Marlins Prediction

The Rangers are having a rough week that’s pretty much played them out of the playoff race. I’m not eager to get behind Kelly, who has allowed 30 hits and 13 runs in his last 22 innings. Perez has been hit or miss this season, and he’s been hit hard on the road, but it doesn’t matter. The Marlins are a scrappy, young team that’s playing hard and appears to want to finish the season strong. Sometimes you find teams that play through the finish line and enjoy the spoiler role. The Marlins look like one of those teams. Give me the fish for another win, as the Rangers watch their season crash and burn.