Rangers vs Mets Prediction 9/14/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Rangers vs Mets Prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, September 14^th at the Citi Field the second game of this series, with the Rangers having the 2-0 lead. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

New York Mets Preview

The New York Mets have a 76-73 record this season and are sitting on the second place of the NL East. The Mets have a 45-29 home record and are 70-71 in over/under. They are coming off a 2-3 home defeat by the Rangers, and have eight consecutive losses. Over is 4-1 in their last 5 games and are playing the Padres and the Nationals next.

The Mets have a .249 batting average this season, .327 OBP and .426 slugging percentage. New York’s pitching staff has a 4.03 ERA and 1.34 WHIP.  Francisco Lindor leads the Mets with 156 hits, while Pete Alonso leads the team in batting average with .264. He also adds a team-high 114 RBI, while Juan Soto adds team-high 40 home runs.

Nolan McLean (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Mets, and he has a 4-1 record, 1.42 ERA and 0.95 WHIP.

Texas Rangers Preview

The Texas Rangers have a 79-70 record this season and are sitting on the third place of the AL West. The Rangers have a 32-42 road record and are 66-80 in over/under. They are coming off a 3-2 road victory over the Mets, and are 7-1 in their last 8 games. Over is 3-1 in their last 4 games and are playing the Astros and the Marlins next.

The Rangers have a .237 batting average this season, .306 OBP and .388 slugging percentage. Texas’ pitching staff has a 3.41 ERA and 1.17 WHIP.  Josh Smith leads the Rangers with 121 hits, and he is the team’s best hitter with a .259 batting average. Adolis Garcia leads the team in RBI, with 73, while Corey Seager adds a team-high 21 home runs.

Reliever Jacob Latz (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Rangers, and he has a 2-0 record, 2.91 ERA and 1.24 WHIP.

Texas Rangers @ New York Mets Betting Trends: September 14, 2025

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Nolan McLean      Record this season: 4-1      ERA: 1.42
• Home Record: 2-0
• Last 5 against Rangers: –

Why the New York Mets will win

• The home team has won six of the Mets’ last eight games.
• The Rangers have lost six of their last eight games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in six of their last eight games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Mets have covered the run line in three of their last four games against the Rangers following a home loss.
• The Mets have led after 5 innings in eight of their last nine day games at Citi Field against AL West opponents.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Jake Latz      Record this season: 2-0      ERA: 2.91
• Road Record: 0-0
• Last 5 against Mets: 0-0

Why the Texas Rangers will win

• The Mets have lost each of their last eight games as home favorites against American League opponents following a loss.
• The underdogs have won each of the Rangers’ last seven games.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 games as home favorites against American League opponents following a loss.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Rangers’ last eight games.
• The Mets have lost the first inning in three of their last four home games.
• The Rangers have led after 3 innings in each of their last six Sunday day games as underdogs.
• The Rangers have led after 5 innings in five of their last six games.

Total Runs Facts

• Nine of the Rangers’ last 10 day games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Five of the Mets’ last six day games against AL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last nine Sunday day games against American League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Rangers’ last eight games against NL East opponents.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Francisco Lindor has recorded a Double in three of the Mets’ last four games against AL West opponents.
• Juan Soto has hit a home run in three of the Mets’ last four games as home favorites against AL opponents.
• Starling Marte has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 21 appearances against the Rangers.
• Juan Soto ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.398) this season.

Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts

• Jake Burger has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine road appearances against NL opponents.
• Corey Seager has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances.
• Corey Seager has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances with the Rangers as underdogs.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Mets rank 2nd in the league for home runs allowed this season (135).
• The Mets rank 3rd in the league for walks this season (520).
• The Rangers rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.41).
• The Rangers rank 1st in the league for runs allowed this season (544).

Rangers vs Mets Prediction

The Rangers have won their last 6 meetings against the Mets, but the Rangers are 4-1 in their last 5 meetings in New York. Over is 4-2 in their last 6 meetings.

In this Rangers vs Mets Prediction, the Mets are coming as -170 home favorites. the Rangers are going for a bullpen game in this one, and they have the 6^th-best bullpen ERA in the league. On the flip side, McLean has been looking good for the Mets, and he zero earned runs in his two home starts this season. The Mets are weaker against lefties, so I expect a low-scoring affair today. Take the under 8 runs.