Rays vs Blue Jays Prediction 5/13/26 MLB Picks Today
Tampa Bay Rays (28-13) vs. Toronto Blue Jays (18-24)
May 13, 2026 7:07 pm EDT
The Line: Toronto Blue Jays -163 / Tampa Bay Rays 135; Over/Under: 7.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate a Rays vs Blue Jays Prediction for this MLB matchup on Wednesday, May 13th in the third game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Toronto Blue Jays Preview
The Toronto Blue Jays have a 18-24 record this season and are sitting in the fourth place of the AL East. They have a 12-11 home record and are coming off a 6-7 loss at home against the Rays. They will face the Tigers and the Yankees next.
The Blue Jays have a .247 batting average this season, .308 OBP and .376 Slugging percentage. Toronto’s pitching staff has a 4.19 ERA and 1.30 WHIP. Ernie Clement is the team’s best hitter with a .295 batting average. Kazuma Okamoto leads the team in RBI with 26, also adding a team‑high 10 home runs.
Dylan Cease (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Blue Jays, and he has a 3-1 record, 2.58 ERA and 1.24 WHIP.
Tampa Bay Rays Preview
The Tampa Bay Rays have a 28-13 record this season and are sitting in the first place of the AL East. They have a 14-9 away record and are coming off a 7-6 win on the road against the Blue Jays. They will face the Marlins and the Orioles next.
The Rays have a .258 batting average this season, .330 OBP and .379 Slugging percentage. Tampa Bay’s pitching staff has a 3.48 ERA and 1.15 WHIP. Chandler Simpson is the team’s best hitter with a .314 batting average. Jonathan Aranda leads the team in RBI with 33, and Junior Caminero adds a team‑high 11 home runs.
Griffin Jax (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Rays, and he has a 1-2 record, 5.00 ERA and 1.44 WHIP.
Tampa Bay Rays @ Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends: May 13, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Dylan Cease Record this season: 3-1 ERA: 2.58
- Home Record: 1-1
- Last 5 against Rays: 0-2
Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win
- The Rays have lost each of their last seven Wednesday games at Rogers Centre.
- The Blue Jays have won five of their last six home games after going to extra innings.
- The Blue Jays have covered the run line in five of their last six games as favorites following a loss.
- The Rays have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last 10 road games against AL East opponents following a road win.
- The Blue Jays have led after 5 innings in six of their last eight games as favorites against AL East opponents.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Griffin Jax Record this season: 1-2 ERA: 5.00
- Road Record: 1-2
- Last 5 against Blue Jays: 0-1
Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win
- The Rays have won each of their last nine games against the Blue Jays following a win.
- The Blue Jays have lost each of their last eight games against the Rays following a loss.
- The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last six Wednesday night games as underdogs against American League opponents.
- The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games as favorites after going to extra innings.
- The Blue Jays have lost the first inning in five of their last six night games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Blue Jays have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last eight home games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Blue Jays have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight night games against opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Blue Jays’ last six home games after going to extra innings have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Five of the Rays’ last six games after going to extra innings have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last nine night games between the Rays and Blue Jays.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Rays’ last six games at Rogers Centre.
Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts
- Dylan Cease has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last five home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Andres Gimenez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine Wednesday night appearances.
- Dylan Cease has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances.
- Alejandro Kirk has hit at least one home run in each of his last three appearances with the Blue Jays as favorites against AL East opponents.
- Dylan Cease ranks T3rd in the league for total Strikeouts (66) this season.
Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts
- Jake Fraley has hit a home run in three of his last 12 appearances with his team as a road underdog against AL opponents.
- Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 Wednesday night appearances with the Rays as underdogs.
- Chandler Simpson ranks 4th in the league in Steals (14) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Blue Jays rank T29th in the league for triples this season (1).
- The Blue Jays rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts against this season (291).
- The Rays rank 1st in the league for strikeouts against this season (289).
- The Rays rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (51).
Rays vs Blue Jays Prediction
The Rays have won their last five meetings against the Jays and have won their last two visits in Toronto. Over is 3-1 in their last 4 meetings.
In this Rays vs Blue Jays Prediction, the Blue Jays are coming as -160 home favorites. The Jays have lost both games in this series but have the pitching advantage today with Dylan Cease on the mound, who goes up against Griffin Jax. Cease has been excellent this season and coming off a shutout start, while Jax has been bad with a 5.00 ERA and 1.44 WHIP. I like the Jays in a bounce-back spot at home after a narrow loss yesterday, so take them on the moneyline in a reasonable price.