Rays vs Blue Jays Prediction 7/20/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Rays vs Blue Jays Prediction for this MLB matchup on Monday, July 20^th in the opening game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Toronto Blue Jays Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays have a 46-53 record this season and are sitting in the 5th place of the AL East. They have a 25-27 home record and are coming off a 3-0 home win against the White Sox. They will face the Red Sox and the Nationals next.

The Toronto Blue Jays have a .243 batting average this season, .306 OBP and .384 Slugging percentage. Toronto’s pitching staff has a 4.15 ERA and 1.30 WHIP. Ernie Clement is the team’s best hitter with a .295 batting average. Kazuma Okamoto leads the team in RBI with 62, adding a team-high 22 home runs.

Dylan Cease (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Toronto Blue Jays, and he has a 6-4 record, 2.56 ERA and 1.13 WHIP.

Tampa Bay Rays Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays have a 56-42 record this season and are sitting in the 1st place of the AL East. They have a 21-27 away record and are coming off a 1-6 road loss against the Red Sox. They will face the Guardians and the Rangers next.

The Tampa Bay Rays have a .257 batting average this season, .332 OBP and .399 Slugging percentage. Tampa Bay’s pitching staff has a 3.89 ERA and 1.18 WHIP. Yandy Diaz is the team’s best hitter with a .310 batting average. Jonathan Aranda leads the team in RBI with 64, while Junior Caminero adds a team-high 29 home runs.

Nick Martinez (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Tampa Bay Rays, and he has a 8-2 record, 2.65 ERA and 1.12 WHIP.

Tampa Bay Rays @ Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends: July 20, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Dylan Cease      Record this season: 6-4      ERA: 2.56
• Home Record: 1-3
• Last 5 against Rays: 0-2

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

• The Rays have lost each of their last eight road games against AL East opponents.
• The Blue Jays have won seven of their last eight night games against AL East opponents.
• The Rays have failed to cover the run line each of their last seven road games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Blue Jays have covered the run line each of their last seven night games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Rays have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last six road games against AL East opponents.
• The Rays have lost the first inning in three of their last four night games against opponents that held a losing record.
• The Rays have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four road games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Nick Martinez      Record this season: 8-2      ERA: 2.65
• Road Record: 2-1
• Last 5 against Blue Jays: 2-1

Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win

• The Blue Jays have lost seven of their last eight games as home favorites against American League opponents.
• The Rays have won each of their last seven Monday night games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 games against American League opponents after playing the previous day.
• The road team has covered the run line in seven of the Blue Jays’ last eight games.
• The Rays have won the first inning in each of their last five Monday night games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Rays have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven Monday night games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Blue Jays have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last seven Monday games against opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Nine of the Blue Jays’ last 10 home games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Nine of the Rays’ last 10 night games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Blue Jays’ last six games against American League opponents.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in six of the Rays’ last seven games.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• George Springer has hit a home run in each of his last three appearances in night games against AL teams that held a winning record.
• Dylan Cease has recorded eight or more strikeouts in each of his last six home appearances.
• Nathan Lukes has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances after playing the previous day.
• Dylan Cease ranks 2nd in the league for total Strikeouts (148) this season.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

• Junior Caminero has hit a home run in five of the Rays’ last six night games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Nick Martinez has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Chandler Simpson has recorded at least one hit in each of his 13 previous appearances against the Blue Jays after playing the previous day.
• Yandy Diaz ranks 4th in the league in Hits (112) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Blue Jays rank 30th in the league for triples this season (5).
• The Blue Jays rank 30th in the league for triples this season (5).
• The Rays rank 1st in the league for strikeouts against this season (699).
• The Rays rank 1st in the league for strikeouts against this season (699).

Rays vs Blue Jays Prediction

The Rays are 5-1 in their last 6 meetings against the Blue Jays but are 2-4 in their last 6 visits in Toronto.

In this Rays vs Blue Jays Prediction, the Blue Jays are coming as -150 home favorites. Both teams have been struggling lately as they are 1-4 and 0-5 in their last 5 games respectively and both offenses have been struggling as well, as they average just 5 runs per game combined against the opposing starter throw hand in their last 5 games. Both pitchers have been excellent with a combined 5.10 home/away ERA and in very good form lately. Take the under 7.5 runs in this one.