Rays vs Blue Jays Prediction 5/6/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Rays vs Blue Jays prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, May 6th at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 23-12 this year after they won the first two games in this series by scores of 5-1 and 4-3. In game two, Tampa Bay trailed 2-0 in the second inning, but they scored four of the last five runs for the win. The Rays recorded 11 hits in the game and they were led by Aranda, who went 2-4 with one RBI. Rasmussen allowed seven hits and three earned runs over 6.0 innings, while Legumina got the win and Sulser picked up the save. Prior to this series, Tampa Bay swept the Giants in three games and won two out of three against the Guardians.

This season, Tampa Bay has a 3.65 ERA with a 1.20 WHIP and a .223 opponent batting average, while they have scored 156 runs with a .255 batting average and a .327 on base percentage. Jonathan Aranda has led the Rays with seven home runs and 29 RBIs, while Yandy Diaz has added five home runs and 22 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Shane McClanahan, who is 3-2 with a 3.10 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP over 29.0 innings pitched this year. 

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 16-20 this season after they lost game two by a score of 4-3 last night. Toronto led 2-0 in the second inning and 3-2 in the fifth inning, but they couldn’t score any more runs for the loss. The Blue Jays recorded eight hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Okamoto, who went 2-4 with one home run and one RBI. Gausman allowed six hits and two earned runs over 6.0 innings, while Rogers allowed two earned runs for the loss. Prior to this series, Toronto split four games with the Twins and won two out of three against the Red Sox. 

This season, Toronto has a 4.28 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP and a .250 opponent batting average, while they have scored 147 runs with a .252 batting average and a .314 on base percentage. Kazuma Okamoto has led the Blue Jays with 10 home runs and 23 RBIs, while Jesus Sanchez has added four home runs and 15 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Patrick Corbin, who is 1-0 with a 3.65 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP over 24.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win

• The Rays have won each of their last 11 games following a home win.
• The Blue Jays have lost each of their last eight games against the Rays following a road loss.
• The Rays have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 games as favorites against American League opponents.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games against the Rays following a loss.
• The Blue Jays have lost the first inning in each of their last three day games.
• The Rays have led after 5 innings in eight of their last nine home day games.
• The Blue Jays have trailed after 3 innings in nine of their last 11 day games against American League opponents.

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

• The Blue Jays have won seven of their last eight day games against AL East opponents.
• The Rays have lost seven of their last nine games as favorites against AL East opponents.
• The Rays have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games as favorites against AL East opponents.
• The Blue Jays have covered the run line in eight of their last nine day games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Blue Jays have led after 3 innings in each of their last five day games against AL East opponents.
• The Blue Jays have won the first inning in four of their last five games as road underdogs against AL East opponents.
• The Blue Jays have led after 5 innings in each of their last five day games against AL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Nine of the Rays’ last 10 games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Blue Jays’ last four day games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 13 of the Blue Jays’ last 14 games as road underdogs against AL East opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Rays’ last eight games as home favorites against AL East opponents.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

• Yandy Diaz has hit a home run in three of the Rays’ last 11 home games against AL opponents.
• Taylor Walls has recorded at least one hit in nine of his last 10 appearances against AL East opponents.
• Shane McClanahan has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his seven previous appearances in day games against AL teams that held a losing record.
• Shane McClanahan has recorded a win in each of his five previous appearances against AL East opponents that held a losing record.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• Patrick Corbin has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances in day games.
• Alejandro Kirk has hit at least one home run in each of his last two appearances against the Rays.
• Andres Gimenez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.

Rays vs Blue Jays Prediction 

Tampa Bay comes into this matchup looking to complete the sweep and they have allowed one run or fewer in four of their last five games. The Rays are 13-4 at home this year, while the Blue Jays are 6-12 on the road. Toronto has lost three in a row and they have allowed 17 runs in their last four games. The Jays are starting Corbin, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight starts, while the Rays are going with McClanahan, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. I really like this pitching matchup and runs should be at a premium once again, so back the under here.