Rays vs Braves Prediction 4/12/25 MLB Picks Today

The Atlanta Braves and Tampa Bay Rays meet Saturday in MLB action at George M. Steinbrenner Field. Here’s a Rays vs Braves Prediction. This article will include a Rays vs Braves Pick.

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 3-10 on the year and play the Blue Jays, Twins, and Cardinals next. The Atlanta Braves are batting .219 on the season, have a .301 OBP, and a .345 slugging percentage. The Atlanta Braves pitching staff has a 4.20 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP. Austin Riley leads the Atlanta Braves with 13 hits and 6 RBI, while Marcell Ozuna and Ozzie Albies have combined for 24 hits and 14 RBI.

AJ Smith-Shawver gets the ball for the Atlanta Braves, and he is 0-2 with a 5.19 ERA and 10 strikeouts this season. This will be Smith-Shawver’s first career game against the Tampa Bay Rays.

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 6-7 on the year and play the Red Sox, Yankees, and Diamondbacks next. The Tampa Bay Rays are batting .258 on the season, have a .18 OBP, and a .395 slugging percentage. The Tampa Bay Rays pitching staff has a 3.69 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP. Brandon Lowe leads the Tampa Bay Rays with 13 hits and 9 RBI while Kameron Misner and Junior Caminero have combined for 23 hits and 9 RBI.

Drew Rasmussen gets the ball for the Tampa Bay Rays, and he is 1-0 with a 0.90 ERA and 8 strikeouts this season. Rasmussen is 0-0 with a 2.70 ERA and 7 strikeouts in his career against the Atlanta Braves.

Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win

• The Braves have lost each of their last 10 road games.
• The home team has won 14 of the Braves’ last 16 games.
• The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games against American League opponents after playing the previous day.
• The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last four games as favorites against National League opponents.
• The Rays have led after 3 innings in eight of their last nine Saturday day games.
• The Rays have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games as favorites against National League opponents.

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

• The Braves have won each of their last three games as road underdogs against American League opponents following a loss.
• The Rays have lost each of their last four day games following a win.
• The Rays have failed to cover the run line each of their last seven day games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Braves have covered the run line in seven of their last eight day games against American League opponents following a road loss.
• The Rays have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight day games against opponents that held a losing record.
• The Braves have won the first inning in five of their last six road games against American League opponents.
• The Rays have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four day games against National League opponents that held a losing record.

Rays vs Braves Prediction

Neither the Braves nor Rays are playing good baseball, and it’s confusing considering these are two teams that have goals of making the playoffs. I have to lean toward the Rays on Saturday. Smith-Shawver has just eight career starts under his belt, and he hasn’t been great this season, allowing 13 hits and 5 runs in 8.2 innings. Rasmussen has been strong, allowing five hits and one run in 10 innings. In a battle between two talented teams in a rough patch, I’m going to give the edge to the better pitcher. Give me the Rays at home and the reasonable juice.