Rays vs Mets Prediction 9/2/26 MLB Picks Today
NY Mets (62-77) vs. Tampa Bay Rays (83-55)
September 2, 2026 6:40 pm EDT
The Line: Tampa Bay Rays -168 / NY Mets 139; Over/Under: 8
(Get latest betting odds)
The New York Mets and Tampa Bay Rays meet Wednesday in MLB action at Tropicana Field. Here’s a Rays vs Mets Prediction. This article will include a Rays vs Mets Pick.
New York Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets are 62-77 on the year and play the Giants and Marlins next. The New York Mets are batting .235 on the season, have a .305 OBP, and have a .388 slugging percentage. The New York Mets’ pitching staff has a 4.059ERA and a 1.30 WHIP. Bo Bichette leads the New York Mets with 142 hits and 66 RBI, while Carson Benge and Marcus Semien have combined for 230 hits and 97 RBI.
Justin Hagenman gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he was 0-1 with a 4.56 ERA and 23 strikeouts last season. This will be Hagenman’s first career game against the Tampa Bay Rays.
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview
The Tampa Bay Rays are 83-55 on the year and play the Braves and Rangers next. The Tampa Bay Rays are batting .261 on the season, have a .329 OBP, and have a .404 slugging percentage. The Tampa Bay Rays’ pitching staff has a 3.75 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP. Yandy Diaz leads the Tampa Bay Rays with 159 hits and 76 RBI, while Chandler Simpson and Junior Caminero have combined for 300 hits and 119 RBI.
Shane McClanahan gets the ball for the Tampa Bay Rays, and he is 10-6 with a 3.19 ERA and 103 strikeouts this season. This will be McClanahan’s second career game against the New York Mets.
Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win
- The Rays have won each of their last nine Wednesday games.
- The Mets have lost nine of their last 10 games at Tropicana Field.
- The Rays have covered the run line in 13 of their last 14 night games against NL opponents.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games as underdogs.
- The Rays have led after 3 innings in each of their last eight Wednesday games as favorites.
- The Rays have led after 5 innings in each of their last eight Wednesday games as favorites.
Why the New York Mets will win
- The Mets have won each of their last nine Wednesday night games against AL opponents.
- The Rays have lost each of their last four games as favorites against NL East opponents following a win.
- The Rays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 games following a home win.
- The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last six road games against AL opponents following a loss.
- The Mets have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Rays’ last eight games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Seven of the Mets’ last nine road games against AL opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of Shane McClanahan’s last seven appearances as a starter.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Mets’ last seven Wednesday games.
Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts
- Yandy Diaz has hit a home run in four of his last six home appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Junior Caminero has recorded at least one hit in each of the Rays’ last 15 games.
- Yandy Diaz ranks 3rd in the league in Hits (159) this season.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Carson Benge has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets’ last 13 road games against AL opponents.
- Luis Torrens has hit a home run in four of his last five road appearances against AL opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Rays rank 1st in the league for batting average this season (.261).
- The Rays rank 1st in the league for strikeouts against this season (963).
- The Mets rank 30th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.305).
- The Mets rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (175).
Rays vs Mets Prediction
Hagenman hasn’t even pitched this season, so just when you don’t feel good about backing the Mets, you then have that to work with. I’ve been fading this team all season. The Rays have been ridiculous at home, and McClanahan has been strong all season with a 3.19 ERA and 1.11 WHIP. At home through 60 innings, McClanahan has a 2.55 ERA and a .184 allowed batting average. I’m rolling with the Rays and will lay the RL to shave down the price.