Rays vs Orioles Prediction 6/17/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Rays vs Orioles prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, June 17th at George M. Steinbrenner Field in Tampa, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 40-32 this season after they won game one by a score of 7-1 on Monday night. Tampa Bay had their lead cut to 3-1 in the fourth inning, but they tacked on four insurance runs for the win. The Rays recorded 14 hits in the game, and they were led by Mangum, who went 3-4 with three RBIs in the win. TB started Pepiot, who allowed four hits and one earned run over 8.0 innings for the win, while Whitley finished the ninth. 

Prior to this series, the Rays swept the Mets in three games, but lost two out of three against the Red Sox before that. Tampa Bay has won four games in a row, and they are currently second in the AL East standings. The Tampa Bay pitching staff has a 3.42 ERA with a 1.17 WHIP and a .234 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 332 runs with a .251 batting average and a .317 on-base percentage this season. Junior Caminero has led Tampa Bay with 17 home runs and 45 RBIs, while Brandon Lowe has added 14 home runs and 39 RBIs for the Rays this year. The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Zack Littell, who is 6-6 with a 3.84 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP over 86.2 innings pitched this season. 

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 30-41 this year after they lost game one on Monday evening. Baltimore was able to get on the board in the fourth inning on a solo home run, but they couldn’t find any more offense for the loss. The Orioles recorded four hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Rutschman, who went 1-4 with one home run and one RBI in the loss. Baltimore started Eflin, who allowed 12 hits and seven earned runs over 5.0 innings for the loss, while Soto and Selby finished the last three innings. 

Prior to this series, the Orioles swept the Angels in three games, but did lose two out of three against the Tigers before that. Baltimore has won four of their last six games, and they are currently last in the AL East standings. The Baltimore pitching staff has a 4.92 ERA with a 1.41 WHIP and a .267 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 280 runs with a .240 batting average and a .305 on-base percentage this season. Cedric Mullins has led Baltimore with 11 home runs and 34 RBIs, while Ryan O’Hearn has added 10 home runs and 27 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Dean Kremer, who is 5-7 with a 4.99 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP over 79.1 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Rays will beat the Orioles

• The Rays have won each of their last 11 games as favorites against American League opponents.
• The Orioles have lost nine of their last 10 Tuesday games.
• The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last six games as favorites against AL East opponents.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five night games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Rays have led after 5 innings in each of their last five games as favorites against AL East opponents.
• The Rays have won the first inning in each of their last three home games against AL East opponents.
• The Orioles have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four road games.

Total Runs Facts

• Six of the Rays’ last seven night games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Eleven of the Orioles’ last 13 night games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Rays’ last six games as home favorites against AL East opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Orioles’ last five night games.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

• Brandon Lowe has hit a home run in three of the Rays’ last four home games against AL East opponents.
• Brandon Lowe has recorded at least one hit in each of the Rays’ last 13 home games against AL opponents.
• Brandon Lowe has scored at least one run in seven of the Rays’ last eight games against AL East opponents.
• Brandon Lowe has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Rays’ last four games as favorites.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Adley Rutschman has hit a home run in each of the Orioles’ last three road games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Dean Kremer has recorded seven or more strikeouts in three of his last four road appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Adley Rutschman has scored at least one run in each of the Orioles’ last four road games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Dean Kremer has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances against AL East opponents.
• Ryan Mountcastle has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Dylan Carlson has recorded an RBI in five of his last six appearances with his team as an underdog against AL East opponents.
• Ryan Mountcastle has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 road appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.

Rays vs Orioles Prediction 

Tampa Bay was able to get the win to start this series on Monday night, and they are closing in on New York for first in the AL East. The Rays are 24-20 at home this year, while the Orioles are 14-22 on the road. Baltimore had a nice series sweep over the Angels over the weekend, but couldn’t keep any of that momentum in game one. The O’s are starting Kremer, who has allowed nine earned runs and 13 hits over his last 12.1 innings. The Rays are going with Littell, who has allowed 4, 1, and 3 earned runs in his last three starts. Littell has been the better pitcher in this matchup, and Tampa Bay has the much more consistent offense. Take the Rays here.