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Rays vs Orioles Prediction 7/19/25 MLB Picks Today

Baltimore Orioles (43-53) vs. Tampa Bay Rays (51-47)
July 19, 2025 11:05 pm EDT
The Line: Tampa Bay Rays -121 / Baltimore Orioles -101; Over/Under: 8.5
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In this article, we will formulate a Rays vs Orioles prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, July 19th at George M. Steinbrenner Field in Tampa, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 51-47 this season after they won game one by a score of 11-1 on Friday night. Tampa Bay scored the first 11 runs in the game, and they cruised to the easy win. The Rays recorded 13 hits in the game, and they were led by Diaz and Caminero, who both had four RBIs in the win. TB started Bradley, who allowed three hits and zero earned runs over 6.0 innings for the win, while Kelly allowed one earned run in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Rays lost all four against the Red Sox and two out of three against the Tigers. Tampa Bay has lost six of its last eight games, and they are currently fourth in the AL East standings. The Tampa Bay pitching staff has a 3.75 ERA with a 1.20 WHIP and a .236 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 460 runs with a .259 batting average and a .321 on-base percentage this season. Junior Caminero has led Tampa Bay with 25 home runs and 64 RBIs, while Brandon Lowe has added 19 home runs and 50 RBIs for the Rays this year. The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Zack Littell, who is 8-7 with a 3.56 ERA and a 1.08 WHIP over 116.1 innings pitched this season. 

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 43-53 this year after they dropped game one on Friday night. Baltimore failed to score in the first eight innings, but they managed one run in the ninth to avoid the shutout. The Orioles recorded five hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Laureano, who went 0-4 with one RBI in the loss. Baltimore started Morton, who allowed eight hits and seven earned runs over 5.1 innings for the loss, while Wolfram allowed four earned runs in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Orioles lost two out of three against the Marlins, but did win two out of three against the Mets before that. Baltimore has lost three games in a row, and they are currently last in the AL East standings. The Baltimore pitching staff has a 4.99 ERA with a 1.42 WHIP and a .269 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 394 runs with a .238 batting average and a .304 on-base percentage this season. Cedric Mullins has led Baltimore with 13 home runs and 41 RBIs, while Jackson Holliday has added 12 home runs and 38 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Dean Kremer, who is 8-7 with a 4.24 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP over 108.1 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Orioles will beat the Rays

  • The Orioles have won each of their last 12 night games against AL East opponents following a road loss.
  • The Rays have lost four of their last five games as favorites after playing the previous day.
  • The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last 12 night games against AL East opponents following a road loss.
  • The Rays have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine home games following a home win.
  • The Orioles have led after 3 innings in four of their last five night games.
  • The Orioles have led after 5 innings in four of their last five night games.

Total Runs Facts

  • Six of the Rays’ last seven home games have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Eight of the Orioles’ last 10 road games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Orioles’ last eight night games against American League opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Rays’ last five night games.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

  • Danny Jansen has hit a home run in three of his last four home appearances with the Rays against AL opponents.
  • Brandon Lowe has recorded at least one hit in each of the Rays’ last 11 games as favorites against AL East opponents.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

  • Colton Cowser has hit a home run in three of the Orioles’ last four road games against the Rays.
  • Dean Kremer has recorded six or more strikeouts in six of his last eight appearances with the Orioles as road underdogs against AL East opponents.
  • Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one hit in each of the Orioles’ last 12 night games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Dean Kremer has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances against AL East opponents.
  • Gunnar Henderson has recorded a Double in three of the Orioles’ last four games against AL opponents.

Rays vs Orioles Prediction 

Tampa Bay was able to snap its losing streak with a badly needed win on Friday night to open this series, and they will look to make it two in a row here. The Rays are 29-25 at home this year, while the Orioles are 21-28 on the road. Baltimore has been outscored 28-2 in their last three games, but they are starting Kremer, who has allowed one earned run or fewer in four of his last five starts. TB is going with Littell, who has allowed one earned run in three of his last four starts. I really like how Kremer has looked, so give me the O’s on the road. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Orioles ML

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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