Rays vs Phillies Prediction 5/6/25 MLB Picks Today

The Philadelphia Phillies and Tampa Bay Rays meet Tuesday in MLB action at George M. Steinbrenner Field. Here’s a Rays vs Phillies Prediction. This article will include a Rays vs Phillies Pick.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 19-15 on the year and play the Guardians, Cardinals, and Pirates next. The Philadelphia Phillies are batting .255 on the season, have a .336 OBP, and a .399 slugging percentage. The Philadelphia Phillies pitching staff has a 3.96 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP. Trea Turner leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 38 hits and 11 RBI, while Nick Castellanos and Bryson Stott have combined for 67 hits and 32 RBI.

Zack Wheeler gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he is 2-1 with a 3.48 ERA and 57 strikeouts this season. Wheeler is 1-2 with a 4.50 ERA and 41 strikeouts in his career against the Tampa Bay Rays.

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 16-18 on the year and play the Brewers, Blue Jays, and Marlins next. The Tampa Bay Rays are batting .245 on the season, have a .312 OBP, and a .369 slugging percentage. The Tampa Bay Rays pitching staff has a 3.56 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP. Yandy Diaz leads the Tampa Bay Rays with 35 hits and 15 RBI, while Jonathan Aranda and Junior Caminero have combined for 61 hits and 30 RBI.

Drew Rasmussen gets the ball for the Tampa Bay Rays, and he is 1-2 with a 2.64 ERA and 30 strikeouts this season. Rasmussen is 0-1 with a 1.86 ERA and 7 strikeouts in his career against the Philadelphia Phillies.

Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win

• The Rays have won eight of their last nine games as home underdogs against NL East opponents.
• The Phillies have lost four of their last five games as road favorites against AL East opponents following a loss.
• The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last eight games against the Phillies following a win.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games against AL East opponents following a loss.
• The Rays have led after 3 innings in three of their last four home games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Phillies have lost the first inning in each of their last three road games against AL East opponents.
• The Rays have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven home games against National League opponents.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Phillies have won each of their last seven night games against American League opponents.
• The Rays have lost eight of their last nine games at George M. Steinbrenner Field.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last six games as road favorites against American League opponents following a loss.
• The Rays have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight home games following a road win.
• The Rays have lost the first inning in four of their last five night games against NL East opponents.
• The Rays have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six home games.
• The Rays have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six home games.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

• Brandon Lowe has hit a home run in four of his last 12 home appearances with the Rays against NL opponents.
• Yandy Diaz has recorded two or more RBIs in each of his last three home appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Brandon Lowe has scored at least one run in each of his last four home appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one Single in each of the Rays’ last six night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 16 appearances with the Rays as underdogs against NL East opponents.
• Josh Lowe has recorded a Double in three of his last four home appearances against NL East opponents.
• Jonathan Aranda ranks 6th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.414) this season.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Alec Bohm has recorded a Double in five of his last six appearances against AL East opponents.
• Kyle Schwarber has hit at least one home run in each of his last four appearances against AL East opponents.
• Kyle Schwarber has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances against AL East opponents.
• Zack Wheeler has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Kyle Schwarber has scored at least one run in each of his last eight appearances with his team as a favorite against the Rays.
• Zack Wheeler has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last six appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
• Trea Turner has recorded at least one Single in nine of the Phillies’ last 10 games.
• J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances in night games against AL East teams that held a losing record.
• Kyle Schwarber ranks T2nd in the league in Home Runs (11) this season.

Rays vs Phillies Prediction

The Rays are getting some love from oddsmakers because how solid Rasmussen has been this season, which includes allowing 21 hits and nine runs in his last 25.2 innings. However, Rasmussen has allowed 11 hits and seven runs in his last 10 innings. The Rays have also lost four of the last five games Rasmussen has pitched. The Phillies are playing the more consistent baseball, and it’s hard to bet against Wheeler with the cheap price. Wheeler has a top-15 WHIP at 1.00, and he’s second in strikeouts. Near pick ’em price across the board, I have to side with the Phillies with Wheeler on the hill.