Rays vs Phillies Prediction 5/7/25 MLB Picks Today

The Philadelphia Phillies and Tampa Bay Rays meet Wednesday in MLB action at Progressive Field. Here’s a Rays vs Phillies Prediction. This article will include a Rays vs Phillies Pick.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 20-15 on the year and play the Guardians, Cardinals, and Pirates next. The Philadelphia Phillies are batting .258 on the season, have a .339 OBP, and a .406 slugging percentage. The Philadelphia Phillies pitching staff has a 3.96 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP. Trea Turner leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 40 hits and 11 RBI, while Nick Castellanos and Bryce Harper have combined for 70 hits and 38 RBI.

Cristopher Sanchez gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he is 3-1 with a 3.45 ERA and 39 strikeouts this season. Sanchez is 0-0 with a 0.75 ERA and 6 strikeouts in his career against the Tampa Bay Rays.

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 16-19 on the year and play the Brewers, Blue Jays, and Marlins next. The Tampa Bay Rays are batting .243 on the season, have a .310 OBP, and a .368 slugging percentage. The Tampa Bay Rays pitching staff has a 3.69 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP. Yandy Diaz leads the Tampa Bay Rays with 36 hits and 17 RBI, while Jonathan Aranda and Junior Caminero have combined for 63 hits and 31 RBI.

Shane Baz gets the ball for the Tampa Bay Rays, and he is 3-1 with a 3.86 ERA and 37 strikeouts this season. This will be Baz’s second career game against the Philadelphia Phillies.

Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win

• The Rays have won each of their last 11 home games against National League opponents following a home loss.
• The Phillies have lost six of their last seven games as road favorites against AL East opponents following a road win.
• The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last 11 home games against National League opponents following a home loss.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven night games against American League opponents following a road win.
• The Phillies have lost the first inning in three of their last four road games against AL East opponents.
• The Rays have led after 5 innings in six of their last eight home games against National League opponents.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Phillies have won each of their last eight night games against American League opponents.
• The Rays have lost each of their last eight games against the Phillies following a loss.
• The Rays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine Wednesday home games against NL East opponents.
• The road team has covered the run line in 11 of the Rays’ last 12 games.
• The Rays have lost the first inning in three of their last four night games against NL East opponents.
• The Rays have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four home night games.
• The Rays have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven home games.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

• Yandy Diaz has hit a home run in each of the Rays’ last two games against NL East opponents.
• Yandy Diaz has recorded two or more RBIs in each of his last four home appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 17 appearances with the Rays as underdogs against NL East opponents.
• Brandon Lowe has scored at least one run in each of his last five home appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Josh Lowe has recorded a Double in three of his last four home appearances against NL East opponents.
• Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight Wednesday night appearances with the Rays as underdogs.
• Jonathan Aranda ranks 5th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.417) this season.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Alec Bohm has recorded a Double in three of his last four road appearances against AL East opponents.
• Kyle Schwarber has hit at least one home run in each of his last five appearances against AL East opponents.
• Alec Bohm has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight appearances against AL East opponents.
• Kyle Schwarber has scored at least one run in each of his last nine appearances with his team as a favorite against the Rays.
• Trea Turner has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances against the Rays after playing the previous day.
• Bryce Harper has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies’ last nine games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Kyle Schwarber ranks T1st in the league in Home Runs (12) this season.

Rays vs Phillies Prediction

The Phillies are having a good week, and they should like their chances to keep it up with Sanchez on the mound. Sanchez has allowed 27 hits and 11 earned runs in his last 26 innings. Sanchez is an all-star caliber pitcher when he’s right. Baz has been decent as well this season, but he has allowed 17 hits and 12 runs in his last 16 innings. Baz just allowed seven runs in his last start against the Royals. The Phillies are the better team overall, and they’ll have a field day if Baz keeps the form of his recent outings. The price is cheap. Give me the Phillies on Wednesday night.