Rays vs Red Sox Prediction 6/10/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Rays vs Red Sox prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, June 10th at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 39-25 this season after they won the first two games in this series by scores of 3-1 and 4-3. In game two, Tampa Bay trailed 1-0 in the third inning, but they scored the next four runs to escape with the win. The Rays recorded 12 hits in the game and they were led by Williamson, who went 2-4 with one RBI. Martinez allowed six hits and three earned runs over 7.0 innings for the win, while Baker got the save. Prior to this series, Tampa Bay lost two out of three against the Marlins and all three against the Tigers. 

This season, Tampa Bay has a 3.89 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP and a .237 opponent batting average, while they have scored 290 runs with a .256 batting average and a .335 on base percentage. Jonathan Aranda has led the Rays with 11 home runs and 45 RBIs, while Yandy Diaz has added 12 home runs and 44 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Drew Rasmussen, who is 5-2 with a 3.00 ERA and a 0.92 WHIP over 66.0 innings pitched this season. 

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 27-38 this year after they lost game two by a score of 4-3 on Tuesday night. Boston cut the deficit to 4-3 in the eighth inning, but couldn’t find the tying run in the loss. The Red Sox recorded six hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Mayer, who went 1-3 with two RBIs. Tolle allowed nine hits and four earned runs over 6.0 innings for the loss, while Whitlock pitched a scoreless inning in relief. Prior to this series, Boston split two games with the Yankees and lost two out of three against the Orioles. 

This season, Boston has a 3.88 ERA with a 1.28 WHIP and a .244 opponent batting average, while they have scored 253 runs with a .244 batting average and a .313 on base percentage. Willson Contreras has led the Red Sox with 13 home runs and 39 RBIs, while Jarren Duran has added 10 home runs and 34 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Jake Bennett, who is 1-1 with a 4.35 ERA and a 1.45 WHIP over 10.1 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win

• The Rays have won each of their last 12 home games against AL East opponents.
• The Red Sox have lost 13 of their last 14 games at Tropicana Field following a loss.
• The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last seven games against AL East opponents following a home win.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games at Tropicana Field following a loss.
• The Red Sox have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last seven day games against American League opponents.
• The Red Sox have trailed after 5 innings in nine of their last 10 games at Tropicana Field against opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

• The underdogs have won each of the Red Sox’s last eight games at Tropicana Field.
• The Rays have lost eight of their last nine games as favorites after playing the previous day.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Red Sox’s last eight games at Tropicana Field.
• The Rays have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games as favorites after playing the previous day.
• The Rays have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five home games.
• The Rays have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games as favorites against American League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Rays’ last five games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Four of the Red Sox’s last five games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rays’ last eight games as favorites against American League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last six day games at Tropicana Field.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

• Gavin Lux has hit a home run in each of his last two home appearances against the Red Sox.
• Drew Rasmussen has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last seven Wednesday appearances.
• Drew Rasmussen has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances in day games against AL East teams that held a losing record.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Willson Contreras has hit a home run in two of the Red Sox’s last three games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
• Jarren Duran has recorded a hit in each of his last 11 appearances with the Red Sox as road underdogs against the Rays.

Rays vs Red Sox Prediction 

Boston comes into this matchup on a three game losing streak and they have scored three runs or fewer in four of their last five games. The Red Sox are 17-17 on the road this year, while the Rays are 23-9 at home. Tampa Bay has split their last four games and they are starting Rasmussen, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts. Boston is going with Bennett, who has allowed five earned runs and 11 hits in 10.1 innings. Tampa Bay has played great in the first two games of this series and they have the pitching advantage with Rasmussen. Take the Rays here.