Rays vs Reds Prediction 4/20/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Rays vs Reds prediction for this MLB game on Monday, April 20th at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 12-9 this season after they lost two out of three against the Pirates by scores of 1-5, 8-7, and 3-6. In game three, Tampa Bay took a 2-1 lead in the fifth inning, but they allowed the next five runs for the loss. The Rays recorded six hits and they committed one error, while they were led by Feduccia, who went 1-3 with two RBIs in the game. McClanahan allowed eight hits and four earned runs over 4.1 innings for the loss, while Englert allowed one earned run in relief. Prior to that series, Tampa Bay swept the White Sox in three games and the Yankees in three games. 

This season, Tampa Bay has a 4.47 ERA with a 1.28 WHIP and a .229 opponent batting average, while they have scored 103 runs with a .259 batting average and a .331 on base percentage. Yandy Diaz has led the Rays with three home runs and 16 RBIs, while Jonathan Aranda has added three home runs and 16 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is TBD.

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

The Cincinnati Reds are 14-8 this year after they won all three against the Twins by scores of 2-1, 5-4, and 7-4. In game three, Cincinnati trailed 3-0 in the third inning, but they ended up blowing a lead in the ninth, before winning in the 10th. The Reds recorded seven hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Friedl, who went 2-5 with three RBIs. Singer allowed five hits and three earned runs over 6.0 innings, while Pagan blew the save and got the win. Prior to that series, Cincinnati won two out of three against the Giants, but lost two out of three against the Angels before that. 

This season, Cincinnati has a 3.47 ERA with a 1.35 WHIP and a .229 opponent batting average, while they have scored 78 runs with a .202 batting average and a .297 on base percentage. Sal Stewart has led the Reds with seven home runs and 19 RBIs, while Elly De La Cruz has added six home runs and 12 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Rhett Lowder, who is 2-1 with a 3.52 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP over 23.0 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win

• The home team has won each of the last five games between the Reds and Rays.
• The Reds have lost each of their last four road games against AL East opponents following a win.
• The Rays have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games at Tropicana Field against teams that held a winning record.
• The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four road games against AL East opponents following a win.
• The Reds have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five road games.
• The Rays have led after 5 innings in each of their last six Monday games.
• The Reds have lost the first inning in three of their last four road games.

Why the Cincinnati Reds will win

• The Reds have won each of their last seven road games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Rays have lost each of their last four night games against National League opponents.
• The Reds have covered the run line each of their last seven road games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Rays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four night games against National League opponents.
• The Rays have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four games.
• The Reds have led after 5 innings in each of their last eight Monday games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Rays have lost the first inning in three of their last four games against National League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Reds’ last nine road games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Seven of the Rays’ last eight home games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Reds’ last eight games at Tropicana Field.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the last eight night games between the Reds and Rays.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

• Yandy Diaz has hit a home run in four of his last six appearances against the Reds after playing the previous day.
• Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one hit in each of the Rays’ last six home games against opponents that held a winning record.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

• Elly De La Cruz has hit a home run in five of the Reds’ last nine road games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Elly De La Cruz has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last 16 road games against AL opponents that held a winning record.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Rays rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts against this season (155).
• The Rays rank T3rd in the league for triples this season (4).
• The Reds rank 30th in the league for hits this season (145).
• The Reds rank 30th in the league for doubles this season (24).

Rays vs Reds Prediction 

Cincinnati comes into this matchup after a very nice series sweep over Minnesota and they have scored 12 runs in their last two games. The Reds are 8-2 on the road this year, while the Rays are 4-2 at home. Tampa Bay dropped two out of three against the Pirates and they allowed 18 runs during that series. The Rays haven’t announced their starter yet, but Cincinnati is going with Lowder, who has allowed seven earned runs and 13 hits in his last 12.0 innings. It’s tough to make a decision without knowing the pitching plan for TB, but I will side with the Reds, as they have been great on the road.