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Rays vs Twins Prediction 7/6/25 MLB Picks Today

Minnesota Twins (43-46) vs. Tampa Bay Rays (48-41)
July 6, 2025 2:10 pm EDT
The Line: Tampa Bay Rays -105 / Minnesota Twins -116; Over/Under: 8
(Get latest betting odds)

The Minnesota Twins and Tampa Bay Rays meet Sunday in MLB action at Target Field. Here’s a Rays vs Twins Prediction. This article will include a Rays vs Twins Pick.

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 48-41 on the year and play the Tigers and Red Sox next. The Minnesota Twins are batting .239 on the season, have a .310 OBP, and a .391 slugging percentage. The Minnesota Twins pitching staff has a 4.15 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP. Yandy Diaz leads the Minnesota Twins with 96 hits and 51 RBI, while Jonathan Aranda and Brandon Lowe have combined for 176 hits and 95 RBI.

Drew Rasmussen gets the ball for the Minnesota Twins, and he is 7-5 with a 2.78 ERA and 74 strikeouts this season. Rasmussen is 1-1 with a 4.11 ERA and 15 strikeouts in his career against the Tampa Bay Rays.

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 43-46 on the year and play the Cubs and Pirates next. The Tampa Bay Rays are batting .259 on the season, have a .323 OBP, and a .411 slugging percentage. The Tampa Bay Rays pitching staff has a 3.78 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP. Ty France leads the Tampa Bay Rays with 79 hits and 42 RBI while Trevor Larnach and Byron Buxton have combined for 152 hits and 91 RBI.

Joe Ryan gets the ball for the Tampa Bay Rays, and he is 8-4 with a 2.75 ERA and 108 strikeouts this season. Ryan is 1-0 with a 2.16 ERA and 17 strikeouts in his career against the Minnesota Twins.

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

  • The Twins have won eight of their last nine games against AL East opponents following a win.
  • The Rays have lost five of their last six games.
  • The Rays have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games after playing the previous day.
  • The Rays have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight Sunday games against American League opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win

  • The Rays have won eight of their last nine day games following a loss.
  • The Twins have lost five of their last seven games as favorites following a win.
  • The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last 10 road games following a road loss.
  • The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games.
  • The Rays have led after 5 innings in five of their last six road games against AL Central opponents.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

  • Byron Buxton has hit at least one home run in three of his last four Sunday day appearances against AL teams that held a winning record.
  • Joe Ryan has recorded six or more strikeouts in 10 of his last 11 home appearances.
  • Willi Castro has recorded at least one hit in each of the Twins’ last 11 games as favorites against AL opponents.
  • Joe Ryan has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances against AL opponents.
  • Joe Ryan is one of only five pitchers to record 90+ Strikeouts and 20 or less Walks this season.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

  • Brandon Lowe has hit a home run in each of his last three Sunday appearances against AL teams that held a losing record.
  • Brandon Lowe has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 road appearances.
  • Drew Rasmussen has recorded a win in each of his last three road appearances.
  • Chandler Simpson ranks T4th in the league in Steals (24) this season.

Rays vs Twins Prediction

This should be a hell of a pitching matchup, as Rasmussen has a 2.78 ERA and 1.00 WHIP, while Ryan has a 2.75 ERA and 0.87 WHIP. Ryan has been more consistent, and he has a .175 allowed batting average in 44.1 home innings. The Rays are having a rough week, with losses in five of their last six games. Should be a low scoring contest with two of the better pitchers in the AL, but I’ll roll with the Twins at home.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Minnesota Twins -116

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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