Rays vs Yankees Prediction 4/12/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Rays vs Yankees prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, April 12th at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 7-7 this season after they won the first two games in this series by scores of 5-3 and 5-4. In their game two win, Tampa Bay blew a 2-1 lead late in the game, but they scored twice in the 10th to escape with the win. The Rays recorded nine hits in the game and they were led by Aranda, who went 0-4 with two RBIs. Martinez allowed five hits and one earned run over 4.2 innings, while Baker blew the save and Sulser got the win. Prior to this series, Tampa Bay lost two out of three against the Cubs, but did win two out of three against the Twins before that. 

This season, Tampa Bay has a 4.63 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .228 opponent batting average, while they have scored 65 runs with a .255 batting average and a .327 on base percentage. Jonathan Aranda has led the Rays with three home runs and 14 RBIs, while Yandy Diaz has added three home runs and 13 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Drew Rasmussen, who is 0-0 with a 1.80 ERA and a 0.70 WHIP over 10.0 innings pitched this season. 

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 8-6 this year after they lost game two by a score of 5-4 in extra innings. New York led 1-0 in the second inning and 3-2 in the eighth, but they blew the lead and lost in the 10th. The Yankees recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Caballero, who went 2-5 with three RBIs. Fried allowed six hits and three earned runs over 8.0 innings, while Bednar allowed one earned run for the loss. Prior to this series, New York lost two out of three against the Athletics, but did win two out of three against the Marlins before that. 

This season, New York has a 2.60 ERA with a 1.08 WHIP and a .216 opponent batting average, while they have scored 61 runs with a .202 batting average and a .311 on base percentage. Ben Rice has led the Yankees with four home runs and 12 RBIs, while Aaron Judge has added three home runs and seven RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Cam Schlittler, who is 2-0 with a 1.62 ERA and a 0.48 WHIP over 16.2 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win

• The Rays have won each of their last 11 day games at Tropicana Field after going to extra innings.
• The Yankees have lost each of their last five games as favorites after playing the previous day.
• The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last nine day games at Tropicana Field after going to extra innings.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games after playing the previous day.
• The Rays have led after 3 innings in nine of their last 10 games as home underdogs.
• The Rays have led after 5 innings in each of their last four home day games.

Why the New York Yankees will win

• The Rays have lost eight of their last nine day games against AL East opponents.
• The Yankees have won five of their last six games against the Rays following a road loss.
• The Rays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games against American League opponents after going to extra innings.
• The Yankees have covered the run line in five of their last six games against the Rays following a road loss.
• The Yankees have led after 5 innings in five of their last six day games against the Rays.
• The Yankees have won the first inning in four of their last five day games against the Rays.
• The Yankees have led after 3 innings in four of their last five day games.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Yankees’ last seven road games following an extra innings loss have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Rays’ last four home games after going to extra innings have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rays’ last nine Sunday games at Tropicana Field.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Yankees’ last three day games at Tropicana Field.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

• Yandy Diaz has hit a home run in two of the Rays’ last three games as underdogs.
• Drew Rasmussen has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last six appearances against the Yankees.
• Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances against the Yankees at Tropicana Field.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Giancarlo Stanton has hit at least one home run in three of the Yankees’ last five games against the Rays.
• Oswaldo Cabrera has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances with the Yankees as road favorites against AL East opponents.

Rays vs Yankees Prediction 

Tampa Bay comes into this matchup looking for their third straight win over the Yankees and they have scored 5+ runs in three of their last five games. The Rays are 3-2 at home this year, while the Yankees are 5-3 on the road. New York has lost four in a row and they have scored just nine runs in those four losses. Both of these starters are very good, but with New York struggling to score, I like the Rays and the plus money at home.