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Rays vs Yankees Prediction 4/19/25 MLB Picks Today

NY Yankees (13-7) vs. Tampa Bay Rays (8-12)
April 19, 2025 4:10 pm EDT
The Line: Tampa Bay Rays -142 / NY Yankees 120; Over/Under: 9
(Get latest betting odds)

The New York Yankees and Tampa Bay Rays meet Saturday in MLB action at George M. Steinbrenner Field. Here’s a Rays vs Yankees Prediction. This article will include a Rays vs Yankees Pick.

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 13-7 on the year and play the Guardians, Blue Jays, and Orioles next. The New York Yankees are batting .256 on the season, have a .341 OBP, and a .467 slugging percentage. The New York Yankees pitching staff has a 3.94 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP. Aaron Judge leads the New York Yankees with 28 hits and 22 RBI, while Paul Goldschmidt and Ben Rice have combined for 47 hits and 15 RBI.

Carlos Carrasco gets the ball for the New York Yankees, and he is 2-1 with a 5.94 ERA and 14 strikeouts this season. Carrasco is 4-7 with a 3.56 ERA and 81 strikeouts in his career against the Tampa Bay Rays.

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 8-12 on the year and play the Diamondbacks, Padres, and Royals next. The Tampa Bay Rays are batting .263 on the season, have a .328 OBP, and a .407 slugging percentage. The Tampa Bay Rays pitching staff has a 3.44 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP. Jonathan Aranda leads the Tampa Bay Rays with 21 hits and 11 RBI while Junior Caminero and Jake Mangum have combined for 39 hits and 16 RBI.

Shane Baz gets the ball for the Tampa Bay Rays, and he is 2-0 with a 1.42 ERA and 27 strikeouts this season. Baz is 0-0 with a 3.00 ERA and 16 strikeouts in his career against the New York Yankees.

Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win

  • The Yankees have lost each of their last seven day games against the Rays following a road win.
  • The Rays have won each of their last seven day games following a home loss.
  • The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven road games against the Rays following a road win.
  • The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last five day games against the Yankees following a home loss.
  • The Yankees have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four games as underdogs against American League opponents.
  • The Yankees have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six games as road underdogs.

Why the New York Yankees will win

  • The Yankees have won each of their last five games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
  • The Rays have lost four of their last five games as favorites.
  • The Rays have failed to cover the run line in 13 of their last 14 games as favorites against AL East opponents.
  • The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last five games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
  • The Yankees have led after 3 innings in five of their last six day games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Rays have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five home games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Rays rank 30th in the league for home runs allowed this season (30).
  • The Rays rank 2nd in the league for walks allowed this season (50).
  • The Yankees rank 1st in the league for slugging percentage this season (.467).
  • The Yankees rank 2nd in the league for home runs this season (34).

Rays vs Yankees Prediction

The Rays are favored because Baz is on the mound, a pitcher who has allowed 12 hits and three runs in 19 innings while striking out 27. It’s still early, but Baz is looking like an early CY Young candidate. Carrasco looked better in his last start against the Royals, but he’s been hittable overall, allowing 17 hits and 11 runs in 16.2 innings.

The Rays have a clear edge pitching wise. However, none of that matters when you factor in the Rays have scored a combined three runs in their last three games. The Yankees are the better team and playing the better baseball. Anytime you can get plus money with the better team, you’re wise to take advantage of it. Give me the Yankees.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: NY Yankees +120

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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