Rays vs Yankees Prediction 8/19/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Rays vs Yankees prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, August 19th at George M. Steinbrenner Field in Tampa, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 61-64 this year after they won two out of three against San Francisco by scores of 7-6, 2-1, and 1-7. In their game three loss, Tampa Bay allowed the first six runs in the game and never got back into it. The Rays recorded five hits in the game and they were led by Diaz, who went 1-4 with one RBI in the loss. TB started Pepiot, who allowed six hits and four earned runs over 5.2 innings for the loss, while Englert allowed three earned runs in relief. 

Prior to that series, the Rays won two out of three against the Athletics, but lost all three against the Mariners before that. Tampa Bay has won three of their last four games and they are currently fourth in the AL East standings. The Tampa Bay pitching staff has a 3.92 ERA with a 1.21 WHIP and a .237 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 556 runs with a .250 batting average and a .313 on base percentage this season. Junior Caminero has led Tampa Bay with 35 home runs and 85 RBIs, while Brandon Lowe has added 24 home runs and 61 RBIs for the Rays this year. The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Shane Baz, who is 8-9 with a 4.93 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP over 135.0 innings pitched this year. 

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 67-57 this season after they won all three games against St. Louis by scores of 4-3, 12-8, and 8-4. In their game three win, New York trailed 4-3 in the sixth inning, but they scored the last five runs to escape with the win. The Yankees recorded nine hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Bellinger, who went 1-4 with three RBIs in the win. New York started Warren, who allowed six hits and one earned run over 4.2 innings, while Weaver got the win in relief. 

Prior to that series, the Yankees won two out of three against the Twins, but did lose two out of three against the Astros before that. New York has won five of their last six games and they are currently tied for second in the AL East behind the Toronto Blue Jays. The New York pitching staff has a 4.02 ERA with a 1.25 WHIP and a .229 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 636 runs with a .250 batting average and a .330 on base percentage this season. Aaron Judge has led New York with 39 home runs and 91 RBIs, while Cody Bellinger has added 22 home runs and 72 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Carlos Rodon, who is 12-7 with a 3.25 ERA and a 1.06 WHIP over 146.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Yankees will beat the Rays

• The Rays have lost each of their last six games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Yankees have won each of their last four road games.
• The Rays have failed to cover the run line each of their last nine Tuesday night games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Yankees have covered the run line in four of their last five games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Yankees have led after 3 innings in each of their last five games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Yankees have led after 5 innings in four of their last five night games against opponents that held a losing record.
• The Rays have lost the first inning in three of their last four games against American League opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Rays’ last five games as home underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Thirteen of the Yankees’ last 16 games as road favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Rays’ last seven games against AL East opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Yankees’ last six night games.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

• Brandon Lowe has hit a home run in each of the Rays’ last two night games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Brandon Lowe has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 home appearances after not playing the previous day.
• Taylor Walls has recorded a Double in four of the Rays’ last five games against the Yankees.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Anthony Volpe has hit a home run in three of the Yankees’ last four games as favorites against AL East opponents.
• Carlos Rodon has recorded seven or more strikeouts in four of his last five road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Paul Goldschmidt has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances with the Yankees as road favorites against AL opponents.
• Paul Goldschmidt has recorded at least one Double in four of his last five road appearances after not playing the previous day.
• Carlos Rodon has recorded a win in four of his last five road appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.

Rays vs Yankees Prediction 

New York has started to heat back up recently and they are making a push in the AL East standings. The Yankees are 30-32 on the road this year, while the Rays are 32-30 at home. Tampa Bay has won three of their last four games and they are starting Baz, who has allowed at least four earned runs in four of his last five starts. NY is going with Rodon, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in two straight starts. Take the Yankees to get the win here.