Red Sox vs Astros Prediction 5/3/26 MLB Picks Today

The Houston Astros and Boston Red Sox meet Sunday in MLB action at Fenway Park. Here’s a Red Sox vs. Astros Prediction. This article will include a Red Sox vs. Astros Pick.

Houston Astros Betting Preview

The Houston Astros are 13-21 on the year and play the Dodgers and Reds next. The Houston Astros are batting. 269 on the season, have a .347 OBP, and have a .442 slugging percentage. The Houston Astros pitching staff has a 5.91 ERA and a 1.63 WHIP. Yordan Alvarez leads the Houston Astros with 42 hits and 27 RBI while Carlos Correa and Christian Walker have combined for 72 hits and 42 RBI.

Cody Bolton gets the ball for the Houston Astros, and he is 0-1 with a 5.79 ERA and 11 strikeouts this season. Bolton is 0-0 with a 4.50 ERA and 6 strikeouts in his career against the Boston Red Sox.

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 13-20 on the year and play the Tigers and Rays next. The Boston Red Sox are batting .235 on the season, have a .313 OBP, and have a .351 slugging percentage. The Boston Red Sox pitching staff has a 4.29 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP. Wilyer Abreu leads the Boston Red Sox with 37 hits and 14 RBI, while Trevor Story and Willson Contreras have combined for 57 hits and 39 RBI.

Ranger Suarez gets the ball for the Boston Red Sox, and he is 2-2 with a 3.09 ERA and 29 strikeouts this season. Suarez is 0-3 with a 6.60 ERA and 12 strikeouts in his career against the Houston Astros.

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

• The Astros have lost each of their last six games against American League opponents following a win.
• The Red Sox have won each of their last six Sunday games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
• The Astros have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games against American League opponents following a win.
• The Red Sox have covered the run line in four of their last five home games against the Astros.
• The Astros have trailed after 5 innings in 10 of their last 12 road games against opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Houston Astros will win

• The Red Sox have lost each of their last five games as favorites against the Astros following a home loss.
• The Astros have won five of their last six games as underdogs against the Red Sox following a road win.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games as favorites against the Astros following a home loss.
• The Astros have covered the run line in each of their last six day games against the Red Sox following a road win.
• The Astros have led after 3 innings in five of their last six day games.
• The Red Sox have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five day games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
• The Red Sox have lost the first inning in each of their last four day games against AL West opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Five of the Red Sox’s last six day games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Four of the Astros’ last five day games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 17 of the Astros’ last 19 games as underdogs.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last four day games against AL West opponents.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Triston Casas has hit a home run in four of his last five home appearances against AL West opponents.
• Trevor Story has recorded at least one hit in each of the Red Sox’s last nine games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
• Ranger Suarez has recorded six or more strikeouts in three of his last four home appearances against AL West opponents.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

• Christian Walker has hit a home run in three of the Astros’ last five road games against the Red Sox.
• Jose Altuve has recorded at least one hit in each of the Astros’ last 10 games at Fenway Park against opponents that held a losing record.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Red Sox rank 29th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.351).
• The Red Sox rank T28th in the league for home runs this season (22).
• The Astros rank 1st in the league for doubles this season (71).
• The Astros rank 30th in the league for ERA this season (5.91).

Red Sox vs Astros Prediction

Two teams that are struggling to string wins together, I’m going to assume the Red Sox will get the job done after the Astros won yesterday. The jury is still out on Bolton, who hasn’t been good through 9.1 frames. Suarez has quietly been strong through 35 innings with his 3.09 ERA and 0.94 WHIP. I don’t love the price for a struggling team like the Red Sox, but they’re at home and the Astros’ pitching staff is completely useless. Give me the Red Sox.