MLB Picks

Red Sox vs Blue Jays Prediction 4/9/25 MLB Picks Today

Toronto Blue Jays (7-5) vs. Boston Red Sox (6-6)
April 9, 2025 6:45 pm EDT
The Line: Boston Red Sox -125 / Toronto Blue Jays 105; Over/Under: 8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Red Sox vs Blue Jays prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, April 9th at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 6-6 this season after they lost the first two games in this series and were outscored 12-3 in those two games. In the second loss, the Red Sox were able to battle in the first six innings, but they only scored one run in the seventh inning in the blowout loss. The Red Sox recorded eight hits and committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Rafaela, who went 2-3 with one RBI in the loss. Boston started Crochet, who allowed five hits and one earned run over 5.2 innings, while Kelly allowed two earned runs and four hits over 1.2 innings in relief. 


Prior to this series, the Red Sox swept the Cardinals in three games and won two out of three against the Orioles. The Boston pitching staff has a 4.37 ERA with a 1.43 WHIP and a .282 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 66 runs with a .268 batting average and a .345 on-base percentage this season. Wilyer Abreu has led Boston with three home runs and 12 RBIs, while Alex Bregman has added two home runs and 10 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Tanner Houck, who is 0-1 with a 6.52 ERA and a 1.76 WHIP over 9.2 innings pitched this year. 

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 7-5 this year after they won game two by a score of 6-1 on Tuesday night. Toronto scored four runs in the sixth inning, and they added two in the eighth to put the game away for the win. The Blue Jays recorded nine hits, and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Bichette, who went 3-4 with three RBIs and one walk in the win. Toronto started Lucas, who allowed just three hits over 5.1 innings, while Rodriguez did allow two hits and one earned run over 0.2 innings out of the bullpen. 

Prior to this series, the Blue Jays were swept by the Mets in three games but did sweep the Nationals in three games before that. The Toronto pitching staff has a 3.66 ERA with a 1.15 WHIP and a .224 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 47 runs with a .264 batting average and a .346 on-base percentage this season. Andres Gimenez has led Toronto with three home runs and eight RBIs, while George Springer has added two home runs and nine RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Kevin Gausman, who is 1-1 with a 3.97 ERA and a 0.71 WHIP over 11.1 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Blue Jays will beat the Red Sox

  • The underdogs have won five of the last six games between the Blue Jays and Red Sox.
  • The Red Sox have lost four of their last five games as home favorites against American League opponents.
  • The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last eight games after playing the previous day.
  • The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as favorites against the Blue Jays following a loss.
  • The Blue Jays have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games against American League opponents.
  • The Blue Jays have led after 5 innings in five of their last six night games.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Blue Jays’ last 10 road games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Each of the Red Sox’s last seven night games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last 11 night games against AL East opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last eight night games against American League opponents.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

  • Alex Bregman has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances at Fenway Park against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Rafael Devers has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Red Sox’s last six games as favorites.
  • Alex Bregman has scored at least one run in 10 of his last 11 appearances at Fenway Park against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Trevor Story has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight home appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Ceddanne Rafaela has recorded at least one hit in each of the Red Sox’s last 10 home games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Masataka Yoshida has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances with the Red Sox as home favorites against AL opponents.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

  • Anthony Santander has hit a home run in nine of his last 18 appearances with his team as an underdog against AL East opponents.
  • George Springer has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Blue Jays’ last five night games.
  • Kevin Gausman has recorded a win in six of his last seven appearances against AL opponents.
  • Andres Gimenez has scored at least one run in six of his last seven appearances against AL East opponents.
  • Kevin Gausman has recorded six or more strikeouts in 13 of his last 17 road appearances against AL East opponents.
  • Alejandro Kirk has recorded at least one hit in 18 of his last 19 appearances in night games.
  • Myles Straw has recorded a Single in each of his last six appearances with his team as a road underdog.

Red Sox vs Blue Jays Prediction 

Boston came into this series red hot offensively after scoring 36 runs in three games against the Cardinals, but they have scored just three total runs in the first two games against Toronto. The Blue Jays have scored six runs in games one and two, which has been a nice bounce back after a disastrous series in New York. Boston is starting Tanner Houck in this game, who has allowed seven earned runs over 9.2 innings, while Toronto is going with Gausman, who has allowed five earned runs over 11.1 innings. I don’t like what I have seen from Houck in his first two starts, and Toronto has all of the momentum, so give me the Blue Jays here. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Blue Jays ML

Need More? Get Premium Picks

David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

Related Articles

Back to top button