Red Sox vs Blue Jays Prediction 8/10/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Red Sox vs Blue Jays Prediction for this MLB matchup on Monday, August 10^th in the opening game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Toronto Blue Jays Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays have a 56-63 record this season and are sitting in the 5th place of the AL East. They have a 28-31 home record and are coming off a 6-7 road loss against the Phillies. They will face the Yankees and the Rays next.

The Toronto Blue Jays have a .242 batting average this season, .303 OBP and .376 Slugging percentage. Toronto’s pitching staff has a 4.02 ERA and 1.32 WHIP. Ernie Clement is the team’s best hitter with a .284 batting average. Kazuma Okamoto leads the team in RBI with 70, adding a team-high 24 home runs.

Jameson Taillon (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Blue Jays, and he has a 2-6 record, 5.96 ERA and 1.39 WHIP.

Boston Red Sox Preview

The Boston Red Sox have a 64-53 record this season and are sitting in the 3rd place of the AL East. They have a 35-22 away record and are coming off a 3-4 home loss against the Athletics. They will face the Pirates and the Dbacks next.

The Boston Red Sox have a .248 batting average this season, .320 OBP and .402 Slugging percentage. Boston’s pitching staff has a 3.50 ERA and 1.22 WHIP. Willson Contreras is the team’s best hitter with a .285 batting average, leading the team in RBI with 70 and adding a team-high 23 home runs.

Sonny Gray (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Red Sox, and he has a 14-2 record, 2.78 ERA and 1.15 WHIP.

Boston Red Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends: August 10, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Jameson Taillon      Record this season: 2-6      ERA: 5.96
• Home Record: 1-2
• Last 5 against Red Sox: 2-1

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

• The Blue Jays have won each of their last five games as underdogs following a loss.
• The Red Sox have lost three of their last four games as road favorites against the Blue Jays following a loss.
• The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last seven games following a loss.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in 15 of their last 16 Monday night games as favorites against AL East opponents.
• The Red Sox have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five games as road favorites.
• The Red Sox have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four road games against AL East opponents.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Sonny Gray      Record this season: 14-2      ERA: 2.78
• Road Record: 8-1
• Last 5 against Blue Jays: 1-1

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

• The Red Sox have won 15 of their last 16 road games.
• The Blue Jays have lost seven of their last eight night games at Rogers Centre following a loss.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight night games at Rogers Centre following a loss.
• The Red Sox have covered the run line in each of their last five road games following a home loss.
• The Red Sox have won the first inning in three of their last four games as favorites against the Blue Jays at Rogers Centre.
• The Red Sox have led after 3 innings in eight of their last nine games as favorites against AL East opponents.
• The Red Sox have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven night games against AL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Red Sox’s last six games as road favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Seven of the Blue Jays’ last eight home games after going to extra innings have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Blue Jays’ last five games against American League opponents.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Red Sox’s last four night games against AL East opponents.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• Alejandro Kirk has hit at least one home run in four of his last nine home appearances against AL East opponents.
• Jameson Taillon has recorded a win in each of his last five appearances with his team as a home underdog.
• Jameson Taillon has recorded five or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight home appearances against AL opponents.
• Alejandro Kirk has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine home appearances against AL East opponents.
• Ernie Clement ranks T8th in the league in Hits (128) this season.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Ceddanne Rafaela has hit at least one home run in each of the Red Sox’s last three road games.
• Sonny Gray has recorded a win in each of his last nine road appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Sonny Gray has recorded five or more strikeouts in 12 of his last 13 appearances with his team as a favorite against AL East opponents.
• Andruw Monasterio has recorded at least one hit in each of the Red Sox’s last eight night games.
• Sonny Gray ranks 2nd in the league for Wins (14) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Blue Jays rank 30th in the league for triples this season (7).
• The Blue Jays rank 30th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.303).
• The Red Sox rank 1st in the league for runs allowed this season (439).
• The Red Sox rank 3rd in the league for doubles this season (212).

Red Sox vs Blue Jays Prediction

The Blue Jays are 6-2 in their last 8 meetings against the Red Sox and are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings in Toronto.

In this Red Sox vs Blue Jays Prediction, the Red Sox are coming as -175 road favorites. I like the over in this one, as the Red Sox are too big favorites on the road for my liking and I also cannot back the Jays with Taillon on the mound, who has given up 14 runs across his last three starts. Both offenses have been red-hot, averaging 13.8 runs per game against right-handed pitching in their last 5 games and are 10-3 to the over in their last 13 games combined. Take the over 8 runs in this one.