Red Sox vs Marlins Prediction 8/15/25 MLB Picks Today

The Miami Marlins and Boston Red Sox meet Friday in MLB action at Fenway Park. Here’s a Red Sox vs Marlins Prediction. This article will include a Red Sox vs Marlins Pick.

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 58-63 on the year and play the Cardinals, Blue Jays, and Braves next. The Miami Marlins are batting .252 on the season, have a .316 OBP, and a .396 slugging percentage. The Miami Marlins pitching staff has a 4.56 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP. Xavier Edwards leads the Miami Marlins with 132 hits and 34 RBI, while Kyle Stowers and Otto Lopez have combined for 208 hits and 128 RBI.

Sandy Alcantara gets the ball for the Miami Marlins, and he is 6-11 with a 6.55 ERA and 90 strikeouts this season. Alcantara is 1-1 with a 1.38 ERA and 10 strikeouts in his career against the Boston Red Sox.

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 66-56 on the year and play the Orioles, Yankees, and Orioles next. The Boston Red Sox are batting .254 on the season, have a .325 OBP, and a .430 slugging percentage. The Boston Red Sox pitching staff has a 3.75 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP. Jarren Duran leads the Boston Red Sox with 126 hits and 65 RBI while Trevor Story and Ceddanne Rafaela have combined for 221 hits and 127 RBI.

Lucas Giolito gets the ball for the Boston Red Sox, and he is 8-2 with a 3.77 ERA and 82 strikeouts this season. This will be Giolito’s second career game against the Miami Marlins.

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

• The Red Sox have won each of their last seven games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Marlins have lost 14 of their last 15 games against the Red Sox following a loss.
• The Red Sox have covered the run line each of their last seven games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games at Fenway Park against teams that held a winning record.
• The Red Sox have won the first inning in each of their last four home games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Red Sox have led after 5 innings in eight of their last nine games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Red Sox have led after 3 innings in each of their last five games as home favorites.

Why the Miami Marlins will win

• The Red Sox have lost each of their last 10 Friday night home games against National League opponents.
• The Marlins have won each of their last four games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 11 Friday night home games against National League opponents.
• The Marlins have covered the run line each of their last seven games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Red Sox have lost the first inning in three of their last four night games against NL East opponents.
• The Red Sox have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games.
• The Red Sox have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five night games against NL East opponents.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Ceddanne Rafaela has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Jarren Duran has recorded a Double in five of the Red Sox’s last six games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Lucas Giolito has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last eight home appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Triston Casas has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Lucas Giolito has recorded a win in each of his last four home appearances.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Stowers has hit at least one home run in each of the Marlins’ last three games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
• Sandy Alcantara has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last six road appearances against AL opponents.
• Kyle Stowers has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last nine Friday games.
• Xavier Edwards ranks 5th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.307) this season.

Red Sox vs Marlins Prediction

Right when the Marlins were making a sneaky wild card push, they’ve been taking steps back after sweeping the Yankees. Alcantara is also back to stinking up the joint, allowing 16 hits and 11 runs in his last 12 innings. Giolito has been respectable this season with his 3.77 ERA and 1.25 WHIP. The Red Sox are the better team playing the better baseball, and they can’t afford to blow games like this at home against a team heading in the wrong direction. Give me the Red Sox on Friday night.