Red Sox vs Rays Prediction 7/10/25 MLB Picks Today

The Tampa Bay Rays and the Boston Red Sox meet Thursday in MLB action from Comerica Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Red Sox vs Rays Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Tampa Bay Rays will send out Taj Bradley for the start here, and Bradley is 5-6 with a 4.79 ERA and 84 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Red Sox, Bradley is 4-1 with a 3.86 ERA and 37 strikeouts. Walker Buehler will start for Boston here and is 6-6 with a 6.25 ERA and 61 strikeouts this season. In his career, Buehler is 2-0 with a 3.75 ERA and 10 strikeouts against Tampa Bay.

Tampa Bay Rays Recap

The Tampa Bay Rays come into this game looking to build on their 7-3 win over the Tigers from Wednesday’s series finale against Detroit to improve to 50-43 on the year.

Rays Snap Two-Game Losing Streak

Jonathan Aranda has 99 hits with 19 doubles, 11 home runs, and 49 RBIs. Brandon Lowe has 86 hits with 19 homers and 50 RBIs as well, while Junior Caminero has 87 hits with 19 doubles, a team-high 22 home runs, and 58 RBIs. Yandy Diaz has 101 hits with 18 doubles, 14 homers, and 53 RBIs, and Kameron Misner has 42 hits with 9 doubles, 5 homers, and 22 RBIs as well, while Christopher Morel has 62 strikeouts while Lowe has 85 strikeouts, and Misner has 69 K’s as well this season. Jose Caballero has 31 stolen bases, while Taylor Walls has 10 stolen bases as well this season.

Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win

• The Red Sox have lost each of their last nine Thursday night games against AL East opponents.
• The Rays have won each of their last nine Thursday night road games.
• The Rays have covered the run line each of their last eight games at Fenway Park against teams that held a winning record.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine night games against the Rays following a home win.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

• Ha-Seong Kim has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine road appearances.
• Ha-Seong Kim has recorded a Double in three of his last four road appearances after playing the previous day.
• Brandon Lowe has hit a home run in two of the Rays’ last three games against AL East opponents.

Boston Red Sox Recap

The Boston Red Sox come into this game looking to add on to their win over the Colorado Rockies on Wednesday by a final count of 10-2 to improve their record to 49-45 this season.

Red Sox Win Six In A Row

Alex Bregman has 59 hits, including 17 doubles along with 11 home runs, and 35 RBIs this season. Trevor Story added 88 hits with 15 home runs, 57 RBIs, and 14 stolen bases, while Jarren Duran has 101 hits with 24 doubles, 10 triples, 8 home runs, 50 RBIs, and a team-high 15 stolen bases. Kristian Campbell added 51 hits with 10 doubles, 6 homers, and 21 RBIs while Wilyer Abreu has 18 home runs with 52 RBIs and 5 stolen bases, and Ceddanne Rafaela has 12 homers, 21 doubles, 2 triples, 41 RBIs, and 11 stolen bases this season.

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

• • The Red Sox have won each of their last six games.
  • The Rays have lost each of their last four road games following a win.
  • The Red Sox have covered the run line in each of their last six games.
  • The Rays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four road games against AL East opponents following a road win.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Ceddanne Rafaela has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances.
• Walker Buehler has recorded four or more strikeouts in 10 of his 12 previous home appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Wilyer Abreu has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances in night games.
• Walker Buehler has recorded a win in each of his three previous appearances against the Rays.
• Ceddanne Rafaela has recorded at least one Double in five of his last six appearances.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Red Sox’s last seven games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Three of the Rays’ last four night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.

Red Sox vs Rays Prediction

I’m going to back Tampa Bay here. I know it’s hard to go against the Red Sox in their current form, but I still think the results have to be taken with a grain of salt, with Colorado and Washington on the other side. The Rays are still a really quality lineup against right-handed pitching, and Walker Buehler’s been hit hard far more often than not this season, and I think Tampa Bay can get the job done in the opener. Give me Tampa Bay here.