
Red Sox vs Reds Prediction 7/1/25 MLB Picks Today
Cincinnati Reds (44-41) vs. Boston Red Sox (42-44)
July 1, 2025 7:10 pm EDT
The Line: Boston Red Sox -112 / Cincinnati Reds -108; Over/Under: 10
(Get latest betting odds)
The Cincinnati Reds and the Boston Red Sox meet Tuesday in MLB action from Fenway Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Red Sox vs Reds Prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Cincinnati Reds will send out Brady Singer for the start here, and he is 7-6 with a 4.31 ERA and 76 strikeouts this season. In his career, Singer is 2-2 with a 4.71 ERA and 18 strikeouts against the Red Sox. The Boston Red Sox will send out Richard Fitts for the start here, and Fitts is 0-3 with a 4.68 ERA and 21 strikeouts this season. This will be Fitts’ first career start against the Reds.
Cincinnati Reds Recap
The Cincinnati Reds come into this game looking to bounce back from their 13-6 loss at the hands of the Red Sox in Monday’s series opener to sit at 44-41 on the year. After this series, the Reds will head on the road for a series against the Philadelphia Phillies.
Reds Alternate Wins & Losses In 6 Straight Games
Elly De La Cruz has 90 hits with 18 home runs, 57 RBIs, 15 doubles, and 22 stolen bases, while TJ Friedl has 87 hits with 13 doubles, 8 home runs, and 31 RBIs with 9 stolen bases. Gavin Lux has added 66 hits with 15 doubles and 37 RBIs, while Spencer Steer has 9 home runs and 32 RBIs, and Matt McLain has added 9 homers, 28 RBIs, and 11 stolen bases as well on the year. Jose Trevino’s also chipped in 17 doubles this season.
Why the Cincinnati Reds will win
- The Reds have won eight of their last nine games as road underdogs against AL East opponents following a loss.
- The Red Sox have lost four of their last five games as favorites.
- The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as favorites following a win.
- The Reds have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games as road underdogs against AL East opponents following a loss.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- Elly De La Cruz has hit a home run in four of the Reds’ last five road games against AL opponents.
- Tyler Stephenson has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 road appearances against AL opponents.
- Brady Singer has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
- Jose Trevino has recorded a Double in four of his last five road appearances after playing the previous day.
- Elly De La Cruz ranks T4th in the league in Steals (22) this season.
Boston Red Sox Recap
The Boston Red Sox come into this game looking to add on to their win over the Reds on Monday to improve to 42-44 on the year. After this series, the Red Sox will head on the road for an interleague series with the Washington Nationals.
Red Sox Looking For Consistency Of Their Own
Alex Bregman has 59 hits, including a team-high 17 doubles, along with 11 home runs and 35 RBIs this season. Trevor Story added 73 hits with 11 home runs, 43 RBIs, and 13 stolen bases, while Jarren Duran has 89 hits with 20 doubles, 9 triples, 5 home runs, 38 RBIs, and a team-high 15 stolen bases. Kristian Campbell added 51 hits with 10 doubles, 6 homers, and 21 RBIs while Wilyer Abreu has 14 home runs with 40 RBIs and 4 stolen bases, and Ceddanne Rafaela has 9 homers, 14 doubles, 2 triples, 33 RBIs, and 11 stolen bases this season.
Why the Boston Red Sox will win
- The Red Sox have won each of their last five home games against NL Central opponents.
- The Reds have lost each of their last four night games following a road loss.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight night games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Red Sox have covered the run line in four of their last five games against National League opponents.
Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts
- Trevor Story has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances at Fenway Park against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Trevor Story has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 home appearances against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Abraham Toro has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances in night games against NL teams that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Reds’ last seven road games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Three of the Red Sox’s last four night games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
Red Sox vs Reds Prediction
I’m on the over here. I get the case to be made for either side in this game, but I think the runs are going to be flying early and often, just as they were between these two teams on Monday. Furthermore, I think this is going to be a bit of an offensive clinic. Give me the over here.