Red Sox vs Reds Prediction 7/2/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Red Sox vs Reds prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, July 2nd at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. Game two in this series was suspended due to the weather in the fourth inning, so that game will be completed prior to game three starting. 

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 42-44 this season after they won game one on Monday night. Boston scored seven runs in the first inning, and they were able to cruise the rest of the way for the win. The Red Sox recorded 14 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Abreu, who went 2-5 with two home runs and five RBIs in the win. Boston started Crochet, who allowed seven hits and four earned runs over 6.0 innings for the win, while Alcala allowed one earned run in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Red Sox lost two out of three against the Blue Jays and all three against the Angels. Boston has won two of their last three games, and they are currently fourth in the AL East standings. The Boston pitching staff has a 4.01 ERA with a 1.33 WHIP and a .249 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 412 runs with a .250 batting average and a .323 on-base percentage this season. Trevor Story has led Boston with 12 home runs and 46 RBIs, while Wilyer Abreu has added 16 home runs and 45 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Brayan Bello, who is 3-3 with a 3.41 ERA and a 1.44 WHIP over 71.1 innings pitched this season. 

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

The Cincinnati Reds are 44-41 this year after they lost game one by a score of 13-6 on Monday night. Cincinnati fell behind in the first inning, but they scored four runs to cut the deficit to 7-4, but couldn’t get any closer in the loss. The Reds recorded nine hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Hays, who went 2-4 with one home run and three RBIs in the loss. Cincinnati started Burns, who allowed five hits and five earned runs over 0.1 innings for the loss, while Phillips allowed four earned runs in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Reds won two out of three against the Padres and two out of three against the Yankees. Cincinnati has alternated wins and losses over its last six games, and they are currently fourth in the NL Central standings. The Cincinnati pitching staff has a 3.91 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP and a .234 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 393 runs with a .248 batting average and a .320 on-base percentage this season. Elly De La Cruz has led Cincinnati with 18 home runs and 57 RBIs, while TJ Friedl has added eight home runs and 31 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Nick Martinez, who is 5-8 with a 4.12 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP over 94.0 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Reds will beat the Red Sox

• The Reds have won each of their last four day games against American League opponents following a loss.
• The Red Sox have lost six of their last seven day games against National League opponents.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six day games against National League opponents following a home win.
• The Reds have covered the run line in each of their last four day games against American League opponents following a loss.
• The Red Sox have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Red Sox have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five Wednesday games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Reds’ last seven road games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Three of the Red Sox’s last four home games against NL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last seven games against National League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Reds’ last seven games at Fenway Park.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Ceddanne Rafaela has recorded a Double in three of the Red Sox’s last four games against NL opponents.
• Trevor Story has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 home appearances against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• Trevor Story has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances at Fenway Park against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

• Jose Trevino has recorded at least one Double in each of his last three road appearances against AL East opponents.
• Austin Hays has recorded at least one hit in each of his 16 previous appearances at Fenway Park against opponents that held a losing record.
• Brady Singer has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against AL opponents.
• Elly De La Cruz has hit a home run in four of the Reds’ last five road games against AL opponents.

Red Sox vs Reds Prediction 

Boston did get the win in game one of this series, and they were leading game two before the suspension, but they have really struggled over the last few weeks. The Red Sox are 24-19 at home this year, while the Reds are 20-22 on the road. Cincinnati is 9-6 in their last 15 games, and they are starting Martinez, who is very inconsistent, but was elite last time out. Boston is going with Bello, who has allowed three earned runs in three of his last five starts. I think Boston is going to finish game two with a win, but I like Cincinnati to get the win in this one.