Red Sox vs Royals Prediction 8/5/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Red Sox vs Royals prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, August 5th at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 63-51 this year after they won game one by a score of 8-5 on Monday night. Boston led 8-1 late in the game, but they did run into some trouble with the bullpen before closing out the victory. The Red Sox recorded 11 hits and they committed three errors in the game, while they were led by Duran, who went 1-4 with one home run and three RBIs in the win. Boston started Bello, who allowed six hits and zero earned runs over 6.0 innings for the win, while Chapman picked up the save. 

Prior to this series, the Red Sox won all three against the Astros and two out of three against the Twins. Boston has won eight of their last nine games, and they are currently second in the AL East standings. The Boston pitching staff has a 3.71 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .246 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 568 runs with a .254 batting average and a .323 on-base percentage this season. Wilyer Abreu has led Boston with 20 home runs and 60 RBIs, while Trevor Story has added 18 home runs and 69 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Garrett Crochet, who is 12-4 with a 2.23 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP over 141.1 innings pitched this year. 

Kansas City Royals Betting Preview

The Kansas City Royals are 56-57 this season after they dropped game one to open this series on Monday. Kansas City scored four runs in the eighth inning, but never really had a chance in the game. The Royals recorded 12 hits in the game, and they were led by Frazier, who went 1-3 with two RBIs in the loss. KC started Falter, who allowed eight hits and seven earned runs over 4.0 innings for the loss, while Long allowed one earned run in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Royals won two out of three against the Blue Jays and two out of three against the Braves. Kansas City has won four of its last six games, and they are currently third in the AL Central standings. The Kansas City pitching staff has a 3.57 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP and a .236 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 416 runs with a .244 batting average and a .301 on-base percentage this season. Vinnie Pasquantino has led KC with 19 home runs and 67 RBIs, while Salvador Perez has added 20 home runs and 66 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Kansas City is Ryan Bergert, who is 1-0 with a 2.78 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP over 35.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Red Sox will beat the Royals

• The Red Sox have won each of their last 13 home games after playing the previous day.
• The Royals have lost seven of their last eight night games against AL East opponents.
• The Red Sox have covered the run line in each of their last six games.
• The Royals have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last nine night games against AL East opponents.
• The Red Sox have led after 3 innings in five of their last six home games against AL Central opponents.
• The Red Sox have led after 5 innings in eight of their last nine games.
• The Royals have lost the first inning in each of their last three night games against American League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Six of the Red Sox’s last seven games against AL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Six of the Royals’ last seven night games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Royals’ last five night games.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Red Sox’s last six games as home favorites against AL Central opponents.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Jarren Duran has hit a home run in four of the Red Sox’s last five games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Ceddanne Rafaela has recorded at least one hit in each of the Red Sox’s last 14 games as home favorites against AL opponents.
• Jarren Duran has recorded at least one Double in each of the Red Sox’s last six night games against AL opponents that held a losing record.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts

• Salvador Perez has hit at least one home run in six of the Royals’ last nine road games.
• Vinnie Pasquantino has recorded a Double in three of the Royals’ last four night games.
• Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of the Royals’ last 19 night games.

Red Sox vs Royals Prediction 

Boston continues to be one of the hottest teams in the MLB right now, and they are looking for their ninth win in their last ten games. The Red Sox are 38-21 at home this season, while the Royals are 28-29 on the road. Kansas City is playing better right now, but they are starting Bergert, who had mixed results with San Diego. The Sox are going with Crochet, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight starts. Boston is 9-1 in Crochet’s last ten starts, with seven of those wins coming by at least two runs. Take the Sox -1.5 here.