Red Sox vs Tigers Prediction 4/20/26 MLB Picks Today

The Detroit Tigers and Boston Red Sox meet Monday in MLB action at Fenway Park. Here’s a Red Sox vs. Tigers Prediction. This article will include a Red Sox vs. Tigers Pick.

Detroit Tigers Betting Preview

The Detroit Tigers are 12-10 on the year and play the Brewers and Reds next. The Detroit Tigers are batting .243 on the season and have a .324 OBP, and a .380 slugging percentage. The Detroit Tigers pitching staff has a 3.27 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP. Kevin McGonigle leads the Detroit Tigers with 24 hits and 9 RBI, while Colt Keith and Riley Greene have combined for 39 hits and 17 RBI.

Jack Flaherty gets the ball for the Detroit Tigers, and he is 0-1 with a 4.05 ERA and 21 strikeouts this season. Flaherty is 1-0 with a 4.09 ERA and 14 strikeouts in his career against the Boston Red Sox.

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 8-13 on the year and play the Orioles and Yankees next. The Boston Red Sox are batting .228 on the season, have a .310 OBP, and have a .341 slugging percentage. The Boston Red Sox pitching staff has a 4.35 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP. Wilyer Abreu leads the Boston Red Sox with 24 hits and 10 RBI, while Trevor Story and Willson Contreras have combined for 36 hits and 29 RBI.

Sonny Gray gets the ball for the Boston Red Sox, and he is 2-1 with a 4.43 ERA and 11 strikeouts this season. Gray is 5-2 with a 2.41 ERA and 68 strikeouts in his career against the Detroit Tigers.

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

• The Tigers have lost nine of their last 10 road games against the Red Sox following a win.
• The Red Sox have won seven of their last eight games against the Tigers following a home loss.
• The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight Monday road games.
• The Red Sox have covered the run line in six of their last eight games against the Tigers following a home loss.
• The Red Sox have led after 3 innings in three of their last four day games against opponents that held a winning record.
• The Red Sox have led after 5 innings in 12 of their last 16 day games at Fenway Park against AL Central opponents.

Why the Detroit Tigers will win

• The Tigers have won eight of their last nine games.
• The Red Sox have lost four of their last five games as favorites against American League opponents following a loss.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine home games against American League opponents.
• The road team has covered the run line in each of the last eight games between the Tigers and Red Sox.
• The Tigers have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight day games.
• The Red Sox have lost the first inning in seven of their last nine games against American League opponents.
• The Tigers have led after 3 innings in five of their last six day games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Six of the Red Sox’s last seven home games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Five of the Tigers’ last six games as underdogs against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 10 of the Red Sox’s last 11 day games against American League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Tigers’ last eight games as underdogs against American League opponents.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Willson Contreras has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
• Sonny Gray has recorded a win in each of his last four home appearances.
• Sonny Gray has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last seven home appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Trevor Story has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 Monday appearances.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

• Kerry Carpenter has hit a home run in four of his last nine appearances in day games against AL teams that held a losing record.
• Jack Flaherty has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances with the Tigers as road underdogs against AL East opponents.
• Jack Flaherty has recorded seven or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances with the Tigers as underdogs against AL East opponents.
• Javier Baez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 road appearances against AL East opponents.
• Dillon Dingler ranks 6th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.603) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Red Sox rank T29th in the league for home runs this season (13).
• The Red Sox rank 27th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.341).
• The Tigers rank T1st in the league for home runs allowed this season (13).
• The Tigers rank 29th in the league for steals this season (7).

Red Sox vs Tigers Prediction

This is a ridiculously early game that should favor the Red Sox at home. Gray has also been the sharper pitcher at times over Flaherty. However, we’re getting plus money with the Tigers, who have played better ball over the last week. Gray has been hittable this season through 20.1 innings. Flaherty is also capable of pitching much better than what he’s shown lately. The value is simply with the Tigers and the more favorable price, as they’re simply playing better baseball. Give me the Tigers.