Red Sox vs Twins Prediction 5/2/25 MLB Picks Today

The Minnesota Twins and the Boston Red Sox meet Friday in MLB action from Fenway Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Red Sox vs Twins Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Minnesota Twins will send out Joe Ryan for the start here, and Ryan is 2-2 with a 3.18 ERA and 39 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against Boston, Ryan is 3-2 with a 3.38 ERA and 32 strikeouts. Brayan Bello will start for Boston in this one and is 2-0 with a 3.27 ERA and 7 strikeouts this season. This will be Bello’s second career start against the Twins.

Minnesota Twins Recap

The Minnesota Twins come into this game looking to bounce back after a 4-3 loss at the hands of Cleveland last time out, to fall to 13-19 on the year. After this series, the Twins will head home for a set against the Baltimore Orioles.

Twins Drop Three In A Row

Byron Buxton has 28 hits along with 4 doubles, a team-high 6 home runs, and 18 RBIs with 7 stolen bases and a pair of triples, while Carlos Correa has 25 hits with 8 doubles, and Willi Castro has 15 hits with 6 doubles as well. Harrison Bader added 3 home runs and 13 RBIs while Matt Wallner chipped in 5 doubles and a pair of triples, while Buxton contributed a team-high 41 strikeouts as well this season. Ty France has also added 32 hits, 7 doubles, 3 home runs, and 18 RBIs, and Trevor Larnach chipped in 4 home runs and 14 RBIs as well this season.

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

• The Twins have won each of their last six Friday road games against AL East opponents.
• The Red Sox have lost four of their last five games after playing the previous day.
• The Twins have covered the run line in each of their last six Friday games against the Red Sox.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

• Trevor Larnach has hit a home run in four of the Twins’ last eight night games.
• Ty France has recorded at least one Double in four of his last five appearances at Fenway Park against opponents that held a winning record.
• Joe Ryan has recorded a win in three of his last four road appearances against AL East opponents.
• Joe Ryan has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last three appearances in night games against AL East teams that held a winning record.
• Carlos Correa has scored at least one run in eight of his last nine appearances at Fenway Park against opponents that held a winning record.
• Ty France has recorded at least one Single in seven of the Twins’ last eight games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Ty France has recorded at least one hit in each of his 11 previous appearances at Fenway Park.
• Jonah Bride has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances against AL East opponents.

Boston Red Sox Recap

The Boston Red Sox come into this game looking to rebound from a 4-3 loss at the hands of the Toronto Blue Jays to slip to 17-16 this season. After this series, the Red Sox will square off against the Texas Rangers at home.

Red Sox Lose Back-To-Back Games

Alex Bregman leads the Red Sox with 42 hits, including a team-high 12 doubles, along with 7 home runs and 26 RBIs, while Rafael Devers has added 28 hits with 10 doubles, 5 home runs and 19 RBIs this season. Trevor Story added 33 hits with 5 home runs, 16 RBIs, and 6 stolen bases, while Jarren Duran has 39 hits with 8 doubles, 3 triples, 2 home runs, 17 RBIs, and a team-high 11 stolen bases. Kristian Campbell added 31 hits with 8 doubles, 4 homers, and 12 RBIs, while Wilyer Abreu has 6 home runs with 21 RBIs and 4 stolen bases, and Ceddanne Rafaela has 2 homers, 15 RBIs, and 7 stolen bases this season.

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

• The Twins have lost each of their last 10 games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Red Sox have won seven of their last eight home games against the Twins following a loss.
• The Twins have failed to cover the run line each of their last 10 games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Twins’ last four games.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Ceddanne Rafaela has recorded a Double in three of the Red Sox’s last four games as home underdogs against AL Central opponents.
• Alex Bregman has hit a home run in two of his last three home appearances against the Twins.
• Trevor Story has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight appearances against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• Alex Bregman has scored at least one run in seven of the Red Sox’s last eight games against AL Central opponents.
• Alex Bregman has recorded at least one hit in each of the Red Sox’s last 11 games against AL opponents.
• Connor Wong has recorded an RBI in each of his last four appearances against AL Central opponents.
• Alex Bregman ranks T2nd in the league in Hits (42) this season.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Twins’ last eight road games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Red Sox’s last four night games against AL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.

Red Sox vs Twins Prediction

I’m leaning towards the Red Sox here. Joe Ryan is a decent arm for the Twins, but I’d be lying if I said I was overly impressed with how the Twins looked throughout that series against Cleveland. The Red Sox were unlucky to lose their series on a couple of blown leads against Toronto, but getting back home, I think, will help Boston here. I think the Red Sox have the edge and in starting pitching as well, so I’ll back Boston here.