Red Sox vs Yankees Prediction 4/23/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Red Sox vs Yankees prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, April 23rd at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 9-15 this season after they lost the first two games of this series by scores of 0-4 and 1-4. In game two, Boston couldn’t do anything at the plate, but finally scored in the ninth to avoid the shutout. The Red Sox recorded five hits in the game and they were led by Duran, who went 3-4 with one RBI. Suarez allowed five hits and four earned runs over 4.2 innings for the loss, while Rivera threw 3.1 scoreless innings in relief. Prior to this series, Boston split four games with the Tigers and lost two out of three against the Twins before that. 

This season, Boston has a 4.39 ERA with a 1.32 WHIP and a .242 opponent batting average, while they have scored 90 runs with a .226 batting average and a .310 on base percentage. Wilson Contreras has led the Red Sox with four home runs and 12 RBIs, while Trevor Story has added two home runs and 17 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Payton Tolle, who is making his first appearance in the MLB this season. 

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 15-9 this year after they won game two by a score of 4-1 on Wednesday night. New York scored three runs in the first inning and they cruised to the easy victory against their rivals. The Yankees recorded six hits in the game and they were led by Rosario, who went 1-1 with one home run and four RBIs. Fried allowed three hits and zero earned runs over 8.0 innings for the win, while Headrick pitched the ninth and allowed one earned run. Prior to this series, New York swept the Royals in three games and split four games with the Angels. 

This season, New York has a 3.16 ERA with a 1.13 WHIP and a .222 opponent batting average, while they have scored 118 runs with a .221 batting average and a .323 on base percentage. Aaron Judge has led the Yankees with nine home runs and 16 RBIs, while Ben Rice has added eight home runs and 18 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Cam Schlittler, who is 2-1 with a 1.95 ERA and a 0.76 WHIP over 27.2 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

• The Yankees have lost four of their last five games as favorites against AL East opponents.
• The Red Sox have won four of their last five night games against American League opponents following a home loss.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games as favorites against AL East opponents.
• The Red Sox have covered the run line in three of their last four night games against AL East opponents following a home loss.

Why the New York Yankees will win

• The Red Sox have lost eight of their last nine night games against American League opponents.
• The Yankees have won each of their last five games.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight night games against American League opponents.
• The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last five games.
• The Yankees have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games.
• The Red Sox have lost the first inning in each of their last four games as home underdogs against American League opponents.
• The Yankees have led after 5 innings in each of their last six games.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Red Sox’s last six games as underdogs against the Yankees have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Seven of the Yankees’ last eight games as favorites against the Red Sox have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 12 of the Red Sox’s last 13 games as home underdogs against AL East opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 15 of the Yankees’ last 17 games at Fenway Park.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Trevor Story has recorded at least one hit in each of the Red Sox’s last seven games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
• Triston Casas has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Aaron Judge has hit at least one home run in five of the Yankees’ last nine games as favorites.
• Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven road appearances against the Red Sox.
• Ben Rice ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.743) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Red Sox rank 30th in the league for home runs this season (13).
• The Red Sox rank 30th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.333).
• The Yankees rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.16).
• The Yankees rank 29th in the league for hits this season (171).

Red Sox vs Yankees Prediction 

New York comes into this matchup on a lengthy winning streak and they are looking for the series sweep here. The Yankees are 7-4 on the road this year, while the Red Sox are 5-7 at home. Boston has lost four of their last five games and they have scored two runs or fewer in all four of those losses. This Red Sox offense is really struggling right now and they go up against Schlittler, who has allowed six earned runs in 27.2 innings. Take the Yankees to win this one.