Red Sox vs Yankees Prediction 6/28/26 MLB Picks Today

The New York Yankees and Boston Red Sox meet Sunday in MLB action at Fenway Park. Here’s a Red Sox vs Yankees Prediction. This article will include a Red Sox vs Yankees Pick.

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 48-34 on the year and play the Twins and Tigers next. The New York Yankees are batting .241 on the season and have a .325 OBP and a .431 slugging percentage. The New York Yankees’ pitching staff has a 3.34 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP. Ben Rice leads the New York Yankees with 79 hits and 53 RBI, while Cody Bellinger and Jazz Chisholm Jr. have combined for 141 hits and 82 RBI.

Carlos Rodon gets the ball for the New York Yankees, and he is 4-2 with a 3.70 ERA and 46 strikeouts this season. Rodon is 5-6 with a 4.28 ERA and 75 strikeouts in his career against the Boston Red Sox.

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 35-46 on the year and play the Angels and Nationals next. The Boston Red Sox are batting .244 on the season, have a .313 OBP, and have a .387 slugging percentage. The Boston Red Sox pitching staff has a 3.73 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP. Wilyer Abreu leads the Boston Red Sox with 82 hits and 38 RBI, while Ceddanne Rafaela and Willson Contreras have combined for 160 hits and 85 RBI.

Sonny Gray gets the ball for the Boston Red Sox, and he is 9-1 with a 2.95 ERA and 66 strikeouts this season. Gray is 3-3 with a 4.17 ERA and 51 strikeouts in his career against the New York Yankees.

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

• The Yankees have lost each of their last seven night games against AL East opponents.
• The Red Sox have won seven of their last eight night games against AL East opponents following a home win.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine night games against AL East opponents.
• The Red Sox have covered the run line in each of their last five games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Red Sox have won the first inning in four of their last five games.
• The Yankees have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
• The Yankees have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games.

Why the New York Yankees will win

• The Red Sox have lost each of their last six Sunday games as home favorites.
• The Yankees have won six of their last seven games as road underdogs against AL East opponents following a loss.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 night games at Fenway Park following a win.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in seven of the Yankees’ last eight games.
• The Red Sox have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five home night games.
• The Red Sox have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six games as favorites against AL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Red Sox’s last six games as favorites against AL East opponents has gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Six of the Yankees’ last seven games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of Sonny Gray’s last six appearances as a starter.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Yankees’ last eight Sunday games at Fenway Park.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Willson Contreras has hit at least one home run in four of the Red Sox’s last seven games as home favorites.
• Sonny Gray has recorded a win in each of his last six appearances in night games.
• Jarren Duran has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 Sunday appearances at Fenway Park.
• Sonny Gray ranks T2nd in the league for Wins (9) this season.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Ben Rice has hit at least one home run in four of the Yankees’ last five Sunday games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Carlos Rodon has recorded a win in seven of his last eight road appearances against AL opponents.
• Carlos Rodon has recorded seven or more strikeouts in five of his six previous road appearances against the Red Sox.
• Oswaldo Cabrera has recorded at least one hit in each of his last six appearances against the Red Sox.
• Jazz Chisholm ranks T3rd in the league in Steals (24) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Red Sox rank 30th in the league for RBIs this season (309).
• The Red Sox rank 29th in the league for runs scored this season (323).
• The Yankees rank 1st in the league for home runs this season (121).
• The Yankees rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.34).

Red Sox vs Yankees Prediction

The Red Sox have simply been the better team in this series, and I like them here with Gray on the mound. Rodon has been solid through 41.1 innings, but it’s still a small sample size, and he’s had issues here and there with his control. Gray looks like an all-star through 76.1 innings with a 2.95 ERA and 1.19 WHIP. Gray has a 2.61 ERA and a .212 allowed batting average in 38 innings at home. Gray has allowed 29 hits and 9 runs in his last 32.1 innings. The Red Sox have won 8 of Gray’s last 10 starts. Give me the Red Sox for the sweep over their rival.