Red Sox vs Yankees Prediction 9/13/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Red Sox vs Yankees prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, September 13th at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 81-67 this year after they lost game one by a score of 4-1 on Friday night. Boston allowed the first four runs in the game, but did score in the seventh to avoid the shutout. The Red Sox recorded just two hits and they committed three errors in the game, while they were led by Eaton, who went 1-4 with one home run and one RBI in the loss. Boston started Giolito, who allowed five hits and one earned run over 5.2 innings for the loss, while Wilson allowed two earned runs in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Red Sox won two out of three against the Athletics, but lost two out of three against the Diamondbacks before that. Boston has won three of their last five games and they are currently third in the AL East standings. The Boston pitching staff has a 3.73 ERA with a 1.29 WHIP and a .245 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 727 runs with a .253 batting average and a .323 on base percentage this season. Wilyer Abreu (IL) has led Boston with 22 home runs and 69 RBIs, while Trevor Story has added 24 home runs and 91 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Brayan Bello, who is 11-6 with a 3.12 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP over 152.2 innings pitched this year. 

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 82-65 this season after they won game one by a score of 4-1 last night. New York jumped in front in the first inning and they were able to pick up a relatively easy win. The Yankees recorded nine hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by McMahon, Rice, Bellinger, and Judge, who all had one RBI in the win. New York started Gil, who allowed zero hits and zero earned runs over 6.0 innings, while Bednar got the save. 

Prior to this series, the Yankees lost two out of three against the Tigers, but did win two out of three against the Blue Jays before that. New York has won four of their last six games and they are currently second in the AL East standings. The New York pitching staff has a 3.99 ERA with a 1.27 WHIP and a .231 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 765 runs with a .249 batting average and a .330 on base percentage this season. Aaron Judge has led New York with 47 home runs and 101 RBIs, while Cody Bellinger has added 28 home runs and 91 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Max Fried, who is 16-5 with a 3.02 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP over 176.0 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Red Sox will beat the Yankees

• The Red Sox have won eight of their last nine games as home underdogs after playing the previous day.
• The Yankees have lost five of their last six games as favorites against AL East opponents following a road win.
• The Red Sox have covered the run line in each of their last nine Saturday games as underdogs against American League opponents.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 day games against AL East opponents following a road win.
• The Yankees have lost the first inning in each of their last five Saturday games as road favorites against AL East opponents.
• The Red Sox have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight Saturday games against the Yankees at Fenway Park.
• The Red Sox have led after 5 innings in each of their last eight Saturday games against American League opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Yankees will beat the Red Sox

• The Yankees have won 12 of their last 14 road games.
• The Red Sox have lost each of their last three home games against AL East opponents.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight home games against AL East opponents.
• The Yankees have covered the run line in 10 of their last 12 road games.
• The Yankees have won the first inning in four of their last five games.
• The Yankees have led after 3 innings in each of their last five road games against AL East opponents.
• The Yankees have led after 5 innings in nine of their last 10 road games.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Red Sox’s last five games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Yankees’ last four games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 12 of the Yankees’ last 13 games at Fenway Park.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 10 of the Red Sox’s last 11 games as home underdogs against AL East opponents.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Trevor Story has hit a home run in three of the Red Sox’s last four day games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Trevor Story has recorded at least one hit in each of the Red Sox’s last 11 day games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Trevor Story has recorded at least one Double in each of the Red Sox’s last six Saturday games against AL opponents that held a winning record.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Aaron Judge has hit a home run in four of the Yankees’ last five games at Fenway Park against opponents that held a winning record.
• Max Fried has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last three appearances against the Red Sox.
• Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances with the Yankees as road favorites against AL East opponents.
• Max Fried has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances.
• Paul Goldschmidt has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four appearances in day games against AL East teams that held a winning record.

Red Sox vs Yankees Prediction 

New York picked up a huge win to start this series on Friday night, which put them 1.5 games ahead of Boston in the AL East standings. The Yankees are 38-34 on the road this year, while the Red Sox are 44-29 at home. Boston will look to turn things around with Bello on the mound, who has allowed three earned runs in each of his last two starts. New York is going with Fried, who has allowed one earned run or fewer in three of his last four starts. I think we are going to see another lower scoring game with these pitchers, so take the under here.