Reds vs Astros Prediction 5/9/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Reds vs Astros prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, May 9th at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

The Cincinnati Reds are 20-19 this year after they lost game one by a score of 10-0 on Friday night. Cincinnati fell behind in the second inning and never had a chance in the ugly loss. The Reds recorded five hits in the game and they were led by De La Cruz, who went 2-4. Lodolo allowed five hits and four earned runs over 5.1 innings for the loss, while Santillan allowed four earned runs in relief. Prior to this series, Cincinnati lost all four against the Cubs and all three against the Pirates. 

This season, Cincinnati has a 4.73 ERA with a 1.51 WHIP and a .256 opponent batting average, while they have scored 156 runs with a .218 batting average and a .304 on base percentage. Sal Stewart has led the Reds with 10 home runs and 30 RBIs, while Elly De La Cruz has added 10 home runs and 28 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Chase Burns, who is 3-1 with a 2.20 ERA and a 1.02 WHIP over 41.0 innings pitched this year. 

Houston Astros Betting Preview

The Houston Astros are 16-23 this season after they won game one by a score of 10-0 last night. Houston led for most of the game and they added six runs in the last two innings in the blowout win. The Astros recorded 13 hits in the game and they were led by Cole, who went 1-1 with one home run and three RBIs. Burrows allowed three hits and zero earned runs over 7.0 innings for the win, while VanWey pitched the ninth. Prior to this series, Houston lost two out of three against the Dodgers, but did win two out of three against the Red Sox before that. 

This season, Houston has a 5.67 ERA with a 1.61 WHIP and a .264 opponent batting average, while they have scored 195 runs with a .264 batting average and a .340 on base percentage. Yordan Alvarez has led the Astros with 13 home runs and 29 RBIs, while Christian Walker has added nine home runs and 27 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Houston is Spencer Arrighetti, who is 4-0 with a 1.96 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP over 23.0 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Cincinnati Reds will win

• The Reds have won 14 of their last 15 day games following a home loss.
• The Astros have lost seven of their last eight games following a win.
• The Astros have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six day games against National League opponents.
• The Reds have covered the run line in each of their last five day games against American League opponents following a home loss.
• The Reds have won the first inning in each of their last five Saturday day home games.
• The Reds have led after 3 innings in each of their last six Saturday home games.
• The Astros have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four day games against National League opponents.

Why the Houston Astros will win

• The underdogs have won each of the Astros’ last six games at Great American Ball Park.
• The Reds have lost each of their last eight games.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Astros’ last eight games at Great American Ball Park.
• The Reds have failed to cover the run line each of their last seven home games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
• The Reds have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last six home games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
• The Reds have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six home games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
• The Reds have lost the first inning in four of their last five day games against American League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Reds’ last eight games as favorites against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Seven of the Astros’ last eight games against NL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of Spencer Arrighetti’s last nine road appearances as a starter.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Reds’ last six Saturday games.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

• Elly De La Cruz has hit a home run in three of the Reds’ last five day games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
• Spencer Steer has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 Saturday day appearances with the Reds as favorites.
• Chase Burns ranks 9th amongst qualified players for Earned Run Average (2.20) this season.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

• Yordan Alvarez has hit a home run in each of his last five appearances against NL Central opponents.
• Isaac Paredes has recorded at least one hit in each of the Astros’ last 10 day games.
• Yordan Alvarez ranks T3rd in the league in Hits (47) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Reds rank 30th in the league for batting average this season (.218).
• The Reds rank 29th in the league for hits this season (284).
• The Astros rank 1st in the league for doubles this season (75).
• The Astros rank 30th in the league for ERA this season (5.67).

Reds vs Astros Prediction 

Cincinnati extended their losing streak with a blowout loss on Friday night and they have allowed 25 runs in their last three games. The Reds are 10-9 at home this year, while the Astros are 7-13 on the road. Houston has won three of their last five games, but they have allowed 20 runs in their last two losses. The Astros are starting Arrighetti, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight starts, while Burns has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight. Take the under in this one.