Reds vs Blue Jays Prediction 9/1/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Reds vs Blue Jays prediction for this MLB game on Monday, September 1st at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

The Cincinnati Reds are 69-68 this season after they lost two out of three against St. Louis by scores of 5-7, 2-4, and 7-4. In their game three win, Cincinnati trailed 2-0 early in the game, but they scored seven of the last nine runs to pull away with the victory. The Reds recorded 10 hits in the game and they were led by Hayes, Hays, and Friedl, who all had two RBIs in the win. Cincinnati started Singer, who allowed five hits and three earned runs over 6.0 innings for the win, while Pagan picked up the save. 

Prior to that series, the Reds lost all three against the Dodgers and two out of three against the Diamondbacks. Cincinnati has lost eight of their last ten games and they are currently third in the NL Central standings. The Cincinnati pitching staff has a 3.84 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .235 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 611 runs with a .246 batting average and a .317 on base percentage this season. Elly De La Cruz has led Cincinnati with 19 home runs and 77 RBIs, while Spencer Steer has added 17 home runs and 63 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Hunter Greene, who is 5-4 with a 2.81 ERA and a 0.97 WHIP over 77.0 innings pitched this season. 

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 79-58 this year after they lost two out of three against Milwaukee by scores of 2-7, 1-4, and 8-4. In their game three win, Toronto blew a 4-2 lead, but they scored the last four runs in the game to get the victory. The Blue Jays recorded 13 hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Straw and Lukes, who both had two RBIs in the win. Toronto started Scherzer, who allowed nine hits and four earned runs over 4.0 innings, while Nance picked up the win in relief. 

Prior to that series, the Blue Jays won two out of three against the Twins and two out of three against the Marlins. Toronto has lost three of their last five games and they are currently first in the AL East standings. The Toronto pitching staff has a 4.25 ERA with a 1.27 WHIP and a .241 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 675 runs with a .268 batting average and a .337 on base percentage this season. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has led Toronto with 21 home runs and 74 RBIs, while George Springer has added 24 home runs and 68 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Chris Bassitt, who is 11-7 with a 4.14 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP over 150.0 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Blue Jays will beat the Reds

• The Blue Jays have won each of their last nine games as underdogs following a home win.
• The Reds have lost three of their last four games as favorites.
• The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last nine games as underdogs following a home win.
• The Reds have failed to cover the run line each of their last four games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Blue Jays have won the first inning in each of their last four games against the Reds.
• The Reds have trailed after 5 innings in eight of their last nine games.
• The Blue Jays have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games against the Reds.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Blue Jays’ last eight games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Seven of the Reds’ last eight day games as favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Reds’ last six games as favorites.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Blue Jays’ last six road games against NL Central opponents.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

• Elly De La Cruz has hit a home run in three of the Reds’ last four day games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Elly De La Cruz has recorded at least one Double in three of the Reds’ last four games as home favorites against AL East opponents.
• Hunter Greene has recorded seven or more strikeouts in eight of his last nine appearances with the Reds as home favorites.
• TJ Friedl has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last 11 games as favorites against AL opponents.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• Chris Bassitt has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances with the Blue Jays as underdogs against NL opponents.
• Daulton Varsho has recorded at least one hit in each of his nine previous appearances against the Reds after playing the previous day.
• George Springer has hit at least one home run in three of the Blue Jays’ last four games against the Reds.
• Bo Bichette has recorded a Double in three of the Blue Jays’ last four road games against NL opponents.
• Chris Bassitt has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his three previous appearances against the Reds.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Reds rank 6th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.235).
• The Reds are one of only six teams in the league to rank top 10 in both ERA and hits allowed this season.
• The Blue Jays rank 1st in the league for hits this season (1253).
• The Blue Jays rank 1st in the league for batting average this season (.268).

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Reds vs Blue Jays Prediction 

Cincinnati was able to pick up a win on Sunday afternoon to avoid being swept, but they have had a ton of problems over the last two weeks. The Reds are 37-31 at home this year, while the Blue Jays are 34-34 on the road. Toronto also avoided being swept on Sunday against Milwaukee and they are starting Bassitt, who has allowed two earned runs in back to back starts. The Reds are going with Greene, who has allowed three earned runs or fewer in five straight outings. This should be a pretty good pitching matchup, but Cincinnati is just finding ways to lose right now. Take the Jays to win.