Reds vs Braves Prediction 7/31/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Reds vs Braves prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, July 31st at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

The Cincinnati Reds are 57-52 this year after they lost two out of three against the Dodgers by scores of 2-5, 4-5, ad 5-2. In their game three win, Cincinnati trailed 2-1 in the fourth inning, but they scored the final four runs in the game for the victory. The Reds recorded eight hits in the game, and they were led by Steer and Benson, who both had two RBIs in the win. Cincinnati started Martinez, who allowed four hits and two earned runs over 6.0 innings, while Barlow picked up the win and Santillan got the save. 

Prior to that series, the Reds swept the Rays in three games, but lost two out of three against the Nationals before that. Cincinnati has won five of its last seven games, and they are currently third in the NL Central standings. The Cincinnati pitching staff has a 3.85 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .234 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 496 runs with a .246 batting average and a .320 on-base percentage this season. Elly De La Cruz has led Cincinnati with 18 home runs and 69 RBIs, while Spencer Steer has added 11 home runs and 43 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Andrew Abbott, who is 8-1 with a 2.09 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP over 103.1 innings pitched this year. 

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 45-62 this season after they lost two out of three against the Royals by scores of 10-7, 6-9, and 0-1. In their game three loss, Atlanta failed to score in all 10 innings and ended up with the low-scoring loss in extras. The Braves recorded five hits in the game, and they were led by Baldwin, Allen, Albies, Harris II, and Profar, who all had one hit. Atlanta started Wentz, who allowed one hit and zero earned runs over 6.2 innings, while Hernandez picked up the loss in the 10th. 

Prior to that series, the Braves lost all three against the Rangers and two out of three against the Giants. Atlanta has lost seven of their last eight games, and they are currently fourth in the NL East standings. The Atlanta pitching staff has a 4.18 ERA with a 1.28 WHIP and a .240 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 443 runs with a .242 batting average and a .318 on-base percentage this year. Matt Olson has led Atlanta with 18 home runs and 67 RBIs, while Austin Riley has added 16 home runs and 53 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Carlos Carrasco, who is 2-2 with a 5.91 ERA and a 1.53 WHIP over 32.0 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Reds will beat the Braves

• The Braves have lost seven of their last eight games.
• The home team has won five of the Braves’ last six games.
• The Braves have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Reds have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games against the Braves following a win.
• The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five games against opponents that held a winning record.
• The Reds have led after 3 innings in five of their last six games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
• The Reds have won the first inning in five of their last six home games against National League opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Reds’ last nine home games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Seven of the Braves’ last eight night games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last four night games.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Reds’ last six games as home favorites against NL East opponents.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

• Spencer Steer has hit a home run in four of the Reds’ last 12 games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
• Tyler Stephenson has recorded at least one hit in each of his last six appearances with the Reds as favorites.
• Elly De La Cruz has recorded at least one Double in three of the Reds’ last four games as home favorites.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

• Matt Olson has hit at least one home run in five of the Braves’ last six road games against the Reds.
• Jurickson Profar has recorded at least one Double in each of his last four appearances in night games against NL Central teams that held a winning record.
• Jurickson Profar has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances in night games against NL Central teams that held a winning record.

Reds vs Braves Prediction

Cincinnati comes into this contest after avoiding a sweep against the Dodgers on Wednesday night, and they traded for Littell on Wednesday night as well, so they should be full of momentum here. The Reds are 32-24 at home this year, while the Braves are 19-36 on the road. Atlanta is going with Carrasco, who they just acquired, but I don’t trust him at all. The Reds are going with Abbott, who has allowed a total of four earned runs in his last 19.2 innings. Take Cincinnati -1.5 here.