Reds vs Cardinals Prediction 7/26/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Reds vs Cardinals Prediction for this MLB matchup on Sunday, July 26^th in the third game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

St. Louis Cardinals Preview

The St. Louis Cardinals have a 53-51 record this season and are sitting in the 3rd place of the NL Central. They have a 27-28 home record and are coming off a 7-0 home win against the Reds. They will face the Cubs and the Blue Jays next.

The St. Louis Cardinals have a .240 batting average this season, .316 OBP and .382 Slugging percentage. St. Louis’s pitching staff has a 4.13 ERA and 1.33 WHIP. Jordan Walker is the team’s best hitter with a .290 batting average, leads the team in RBI with 77, and adds a team-high 22 home runs.

Kyle Leahy (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the St. Louis Cardinals, and he has a 7-4 record, 3.59 ERA and 1.35 WHIP.

Cincinnati Reds Preview

The Cincinnati Reds have a 48-55 record this season and are sitting in the 5th place of the NL Central. They have a 26-27 away record and are coming off a 0-7 road loss against the Cardinals. They will face the Guardians and the Pirates next.

The Cincinnati Reds have a .229 batting average this season, .308 OBP and .397 Slugging percentage. Cincinnati’s pitching staff has a 4.55 ERA and 1.42 WHIP. Elly De La Cruz is the team’s best hitter with a .276 batting average. Sal Stewart leads the team in RBI with 75, adding a team-high 21 home runs.

Andrew Abbott (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Cincinnati Reds, and he has a 5-6 record, 3.89 ERA and 1.40 WHIP.

Cincinnati Reds @ St. Louis Cardinals Betting Trends: July 26, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Kyle Leahy      Record this season: 7-4      ERA: 3.59
• Home Record: 3-3
• Last 5 against Reds: 0-0

Why the St. Louis Cardinals will win

• The Reds have lost eight of their last nine day games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• The home team has won five of the last six games between the Reds and Cardinals.
• The Cardinals have covered the run line in five of their last six games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Reds have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games against National League opponents after playing the previous day.
• The Cardinals have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Cardinals have won the first inning in four of their last five home games.
• The Cardinals have led after 5 innings in each of their last four home games against opponents that held a losing record.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Andrew Abbott      Record this season: 5-6      ERA: 3.89
• Road Record: 3-3
• Last 5 against Cardinals: 2-2

Why the Cincinnati Reds will win

• The Cardinals have lost each of their last four games as favorites.
• The underdogs have won each of the Cardinals’ last four games.
• The Cardinals have failed to cover the run line in 13 of their last 14 games as favorites after playing the previous day.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Cardinals’ last four games.
• The Reds have led after 3 innings in each of their last three day games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• The Reds have led after 5 innings in three of their last four day games against the Cardinals at Busch Stadium.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Reds’ last seven day games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Five of the Cardinals’ last six games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in eight of the Reds’ last nine road games against National League opponents.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Cardinals’ last four games as favorites against NL Central opponents.

St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts

• JJ Wetherholt has hit at least one home run in each of the Cardinals’ last three day games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Kyle Leahy has recorded five or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances in day games.
• Pedro Pages has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances in day games against NL Central teams that held a losing record.
• Jordan Walker ranks T8th in the league in Hits (114) this season.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

• Eugenio Suarez has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances with the Reds as underdogs.
• Andrew Abbott has recorded a win in three of his four previous road appearances against the Cardinals.
• Andrew Abbott has recorded four or more strikeouts in five of his last six road appearances.
• Sal Stewart has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last 13 games against NL Central opponents.
• Elly De La Cruz is one of only seven players to record 10+ Home Runs and 4+ Triples this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Cardinals rank T1st in the league for home runs allowed this season (102).
• The Cardinals rank T1st in the league for home runs allowed this season (102).
• The Reds rank 30th in the league for hits this season (791).
• The Reds rank 30th in the league for hits this season (791).

Reds vs Cardinals Prediction

The Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 meetings against the Reds and are 4-1 in their last 5 meetings in Saint Louis.

In this Reds vs Cardinals Prediction, the Cardinals are coming as -135 home favorites. I like the Cardinals at home in this one with the red-hot Kyle Leahy on the mound, who has given up just two runs across his last five starts. On the flip side, Andrew Abbott has given up 3+ runs in three of his last five starts and the Reds have both a weaker offense and bullpen than the Cardinals. Take Saint Louis to win this one at home.