Reds vs Cubs Prediction 5/24/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Reds vs Cubs prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, May 24th at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

The Cincinnati Reds are 25-27 this season after they lost game one by a score of 13-6 on Friday. Cincinnati led 6-2 in the fifth inning, but they allowed 11 runs in the final three innings for the loss. The Reds recorded 13 hits in the game and they were led by Friedl, Hays, Steer, and Stephenson, who all had one RBI in the loss. Cincinnati started Greene, who allowed three hits and two earned runs over 4.0 innings, while Gibaut, Santillan, and Suter all allowed three earned runs in relief.  

Prior to this series, the Reds lost two out of three against the Pirates, but did sweep the Guardians in three games before that. Cincinnati has lost three games in a row and they are currently fourth in the NL Central standings. The Cincinnati pitching staff has a 3.67 ERA with a 1.18 WHIP and a .225 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 234 runs with a .243 batting average and a .319 on base percentage this season. Elly De La Cruz has led Cincinnati with eight home runs and 33 RBIs, while Austin Hays has added six home runs and 21 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Andrew Abbott, who is 3-0 with a 1.80 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP over 35.0 innings pitched this season. 

Chicago Cubs Betting Preview

The Chicago Cubs are 31-20 this year after they won on Friday night by a score of 13-6. Chicago cut the deficit to 4-2 in the fourth inning, but they erupted for 11 runs in the final three innings for the blowout win. The Cubs recorded 13 hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Crow-Armstrong, who went 3-5 with two home runs and six RBIs in the win. Chicago started Boyd, who allowed eight hits and four earned runs over 4.0 innings, while Flexen picked up the win in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Cubs won two out of three against the Marlins and all three against the White Sox. Chicago has won six of their last seven games and they are currently first in the NL Central standings. The Chicago pitching staff has a 3.94 ERA with a 1.29 WHIP and a .250 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 306 runs with a .262 batting average and a .336 on base percentage this season. Pete Crow-Armstrong has led Chicago with 14 home runs and 45 RBIs, while Seiya Suzuki has added 13 home runs and 46 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Colin Rea, who is 3-0 with a 2.38 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP over 41.2 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Reds will beat the Cubs

• The Reds have won each of their last four games as underdogs against the Cubs following a home loss.
• The Cubs have lost five of their last six games as road favorites against the Reds following a road win.
• The Reds have covered the run line in each of their last 10 games as underdogs against NL Central opponents following a home loss.
• The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games as favorites against the Reds following a road win.
• The Reds have led after 3 innings in eight of their last nine games as home underdogs against NL Central opponents.
• The Reds have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven games against opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Reds’ last nine games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Five of the Cubs’ last six games as favorites against the Reds have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Cubs’ last seven games.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Reds’ last seven Saturday day games against National League opponents.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

• Will Benson has hit at least one home run in four of his last five appearances after playing the previous day.
• Spencer Steer has recorded a Double in each of the Reds’ last three games as home underdogs against the Cubs.
• Austin Hays has recorded an RBI in five of the Reds’ last six home games.
• Will Benson has scored at least one run in each of his last five appearances after playing the previous day.
• Spencer Steer has recorded at least one Single in each of the Reds’ last six games.
• Spencer Steer has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last 12 home games.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

• Dansby Swanson has recorded at least one Double in five of his last six appearances against the Reds after playing the previous day.
• Kyle Tucker has hit a home run in five of his last six appearances in day games against NL teams that held a losing record.
• Kyle Tucker has recorded at least one RBI in eight of his nine previous road appearances against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• Dansby Swanson has scored at least one run in nine of the Cubs’ last 10 road games against NL Central opponents.
• Carson Kelly has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight appearances with his team as a road favorite against NL opponents.
• Dansby Swanson has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cubs’ last 17 road games against NL opponents that held a losing record.

Reds vs Cubs Prediction 

Chicago’s dangerous lineup struck again late in the game on Friday to get another win, as they continue to be one of the top offenses in the MLB. The Cubs are 16-10 on the road this year, while the Reds are 13-13 at home. Cincinnati has lost three games in a row and they have scored one run or fewer in two of them. The Reds are starting Abbott, who has allowed a total of one earned run in his last four starts. The Cubs are going with Rea, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five. Chicago definitely has the better lineup in this matchup, but I love what I have seen from Abbott. Take the Reds here.