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Reds vs Dodgers Prediction 10/1/25 MLB Picks Today

Reds vs Dodgers
October 1, 2025 9:08 pm EDT
The Line: Dodgers -270 / Over/Under: 8
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Reds vs Dodgers Prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, October 1st at the Dodger Stadium in Game 2 of this NL Wild Card series, with the Dodgers having the 1-0 lead. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Los Angeles Dodgers Preview

The Los Angeles finished the regular season with a 93-69 record and were placed first in the NL West. The Dodgers have a 53-29 home record and 75-79 in over/under. They are coming off a 10-5 home victory over the Reds, and have six consecutive wins.

The Dodgers have a .253 batting average this season, .327 OBP and .441 slugging percentage. LA’s pitching staff has a 3.95 ERA and 1.26 WHIP.  Teoscar Hernandez leads the Dodgers with 3 hits, in RBI, with 4 and in home runs, with 2. He is also the team’s best hitter with a .600 batting average.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Dodgers, and he has a 12-8 record, 2.49 ERA and 0.99 WHIP.

Cincinnati Reds Preview

The Cincinnati Reds finished the regular season with an 83-79 record and were place third place in the NL Central. The Reds have a 38-44 road record and are 60-93 in over/under. They are coming off a 5-10 road defeat by the Dodgers, and have back-to-back losses. Under is 8-3-2 in their last 13 games.

The Reds have a .245 batting average this season, .315 OBP and .391 slugging percentage. Cincinnati’s pitching staff has a 3.86 ERA and 1.22 WHIP. Matt McLain leads the Reds with 2 hits, and he is the team’s best hitter with a .500 batting average. Elly De La Cruz leads the team in RBI, with 2.

Zack Littell (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Reds, and he has a 10-8 record, 3.81 ERA and 1.10 WHIP.

Cincinnati Reds @ Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Trends: October 1, 2025

 

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Yoshinobu Yamamoto      Record this season: 12-8      ERA: 2.49
  • Home Record: 3-4
  • Last 5 against Reds: 1-1

Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win

  • The Dodgers have won each of their last 10 night games against the Reds at Dodger Stadium following a win.
  • The Reds have lost each of their last seven playoff games.
  • The Dodgers have covered the run line in each of their last nine night games against the Reds at Dodger Stadium following a win.
  • The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five playoff games following a loss.
  • The Dodgers have led after 5 innings in each of their last 14 home games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Dodgers have led after 3 innings in five of their last six games against National League opponents that held a winning record.

 

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Zack Littell      Record this season: 10-8      ERA: 3.81
  • Road Record: 7-4
  • Last 5 against Dodgers: 0-1

Why the Cincinnati Reds will win

  • The Reds have won six of their last seven games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
  • The Dodgers have lost three of their last four games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
  • The Reds have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
  • The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in three of their last four games against NL Central opponents.
  • The Dodgers have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games against NL Central opponents.

Total Runs Facts

  • Eight of the Dodgers’ last nine playoff games as favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Each of the Reds’ last four night playoff games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Reds’ last nine games.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Dodgers’ last five night games against National League opponents.

Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts

  • Freddie Freeman has recorded a Double in four of his last five home appearances against the Reds.
  • Shohei Ohtani has hit at least one home run in each of the Dodgers’ last three games as favorites.
  • Teoscar Hernandez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 17 appearances against the Reds.
  • Shohei Ohtani ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.622) this season.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

  • Tyler Stephenson has hit a home run in three of his last seven appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Miguel Andujar has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 Wednesday night appearances with his team as an underdog.
  • Elly De La Cruz ranks 7th in the league in Steals (37) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (1505).
  • The Dodgers rank 2nd in the league for runs scored this season (825).
  • The Reds rank 7th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.233).
  • The Reds rank 7th in the league for hits allowed this season (1260).

Reds vs Dodgers Prediction

The Dodgers are 6-1 in their last 7 meetings against the Reds, and have won their last 5 meetings in LA, including a 3-0 series sweep this season. Under is 6-2-1 in their last 9 meetings.

In this Reds vs Dodgers Prediction, the Dodgers are coming as -270 home favorites. The Dodgers are dominating the Reds in Los Angeles this season, winning all four games by a combined score of 28-9. They are putting Yamamoto on the mound, who has been elite this season, and coming into this matchup in excellent form, with a 0.79 ERA across his last 5 starts. The Dodgers were leading 6-0 in the first 5 innings of yesterday’s game, and with such a huge pitching advantage, I expect them to have the lead in the first half once again. Take the Dodgers on the runline in the first 5 innings.

Nikos Lagouretos's Free Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers F5 -0.5

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