Reds vs Marlins Prediction 4/7/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Reds vs Marlins Prediction for this MLB matchup on Tuesday, April 7^th in the second game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Miami Marlins Preview

The Miami Marlins have a 6-4 record this season and are sitting in the first place of the NL East. They have a 5-2 home record and are coming off a 0-2 home loss against the Reds. Their previous three games were a 7-6 road win, a 7-9 road loss, and a 2-8 road loss against the Yankees.

The Marlins have a .260 batting average this season, .335 OBP and .416 Slugging percentage. Miami’s pitching staff has a 3.89 ERA and 1.17 WHIP. Xavier Edwards is the team’s best hitter with a .432 batting average. Liam Hicks leads the team in RBI with 12, also adding a team-high 3 home runs.

Sandy Alcantara (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Marlins, and he has a 2-0 record, 0.00 ERA and 0.56 WHIP.

Cincinnati Reds Preview

The Cincinnati Reds have a 7-3 record this season and are sitting in the second place of the NL Central. They have a 4-0 road record and are coming off a 2-0 road win against the Marlins. They won their previous three road games against the Rangers by scores of 2-1, 2-0, and 5-3.

The Reds have a .210 batting average this season, .290 OBP and .333 Slugging percentage. Cincinnati’s pitching staff has a 2.93 ERA and 1.17 WHIP. Sal Stewart is the team’s best hitter with a .353 batting average. Eugenio Suarez leads the team in RBI with 7, and Elly De La Cruz adds a team-high 3 home runs.

Andrew Abbott (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Reds, and he has a 0-1 record, 3.09 ERA and 1.37 WHIP.

Cincinnati Reds @ Miami Marlins Betting Trends: April 7, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Sandy Alcantara      Record this season: 2-0      ERA: 0.00
• Home Record: 2-0
• Last 5 against Reds: 2-3

Why the Miami Marlins will win

• The Marlins have won each of their last four home games following a loss.
• The Reds have lost seven of their last eight Tuesday night road games against NL East opponents.
• The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last four home games following a loss.
• The Reds have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games as underdogs against National League opponents.
• The Reds have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six games as underdogs against National League opponents.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Andrew Abbott      Record this season: 0-1      ERA: 3.09
• Road Record: 0-0
• Last 5 against Marlins: 1-1

Why the Cincinnati Reds will win

• The Reds have won each of their last four games as underdogs.
• The Marlins have lost each of their last six Tuesday night games as home favorites against NL Central opponents.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 14 Tuesday night games as favorites against National League opponents.
• The road team has covered the run line in each of the Reds’ last six games.
• The Marlins have lost the first inning in six of their last eight night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last seven night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Marlins’ last eight games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Reds’ last four games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last four night games at LoanDepot Park.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Reds’ last six games against NL East opponents.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Sandy Alcantara has recorded a win in each of his last five appearances.
• Sandy Alcantara has recorded nine or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances with the Marlins as favorites against NL Central opponents.
• Xavier Edwards has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 Tuesday appearances against NL teams that held a winning record.
• Kyle Stowers has hit a home run in three of his last seven home appearances against NL opponents.
• Xavier Edwards ranks T1st in the league in Hits (16) this season.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

• TJ Friedl has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last eight road games against the Marlins.
• JJ Bleday has hit a home run in each of his last three appearances with his team as a road underdog against NL East opponents.
• Sal Stewart ranks T4th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.500) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Marlins rank T1st in the league for triples this season (3).
• The Marlins rank 1st in the league for hits allowed this season (55).
• The Reds rank T29th in the league for runs scored this season (26).
• The Reds rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (8).

Reds vs Marlins Prediction

The Reds have won their last three meetings against the Marlins but both teams are tied 5-5 in their last 10 meetings.

In this Reds vs Marlins Prediction, the Marlins are coming as -125 home favorites. The Reds have now won four straight and are putting Abbott on the mound, who had 4 earned runs in his second start of the season. On the flip side, Sandy Alcantara has been unhittable this season for the Marlins, who also have a better offense, scoring more runs per game and also have a better batting average, OBP and Slugging percentage, so I like them as small home favorites in this spot. Take the Marlins on the moneyline for the bounce-back win.