Reds vs Mets Prediction 9/6/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Reds vs Mets prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, September 6th at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

The Cincinnati Reds are 70-71 this year after they lost game one by a score of 5-4 on Friday night. Cincinnati cut the deficit to 5-4 in the fourth inning, but couldn’t find anymore offense in the loss. The Reds recorded nine hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Stephenson, who went 1-3 with two RBIs in the loss. Cincinnati started Abbott, who allowed nine hits and five earned runs over 4.2 innings for the loss, while Martinez threw two scoreless innings in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Reds lost two out of three against the Blue Jays and two out of three against the Cardinals. Cincinnati has lost eight of their last ten games and they are currently third in the NL Central standings. The Cincinnati pitching staff has a 3.96 ERA with a 1.25 WHIP and a .238 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 638 runs with a .248 batting average and a .318 on base percentage this season. Elly De La Cruz has led Cincinnati with 19 home runs and 78 RBIs, while Spencer Steer has added 17 home runs and 64 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Brady Singer, who is 12-9 with a 4.08 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP over 143.1 innings pitched this year. 

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 76-65 this season after they won game one by a score of 5-4 on Friday. New York started the game with five runs in the first four innings, but they went scoreless over the last five innings and barely got the victory. The Mets recorded 10 hits in the game and they were led by Vientos, who went 2-4 with one home run and two RBIs in the win. New York started Peterson, who allowed seven hits and four earned runs over 5.1 innings for the win, while Diaz picked up the save. 

Prior to this series, the Mets won two out of three against the Tigers, but lost three out of four against the Marlins before that. New York has won three of their last four games and they are currently second in the NL East standings. The New York pitching staff has a 3.91 ERA with a 1.33 WHIP and a .244 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 679 runs with a .252 batting average and a .330 on base percentage this season. Pete Alonso has led New York with 33 home runs and 113 RBIs, while Juan Soto has added 37 home runs and 92 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Jonah Tong, who is 1-0 with a 1.80 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP over 5.0 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Mets will beat the Reds

• The Reds have lost each of their last 10 night games against National League opponents.
• The Mets have won seven of their last eight night games against National League opponents.
• The Reds have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against teams that held a winning record.
• The road team has covered the run line in four of the last five games between the Mets and Reds.
• The Mets have won the first inning in each of their last three night games against National League opponents.
• The Mets have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight road games against National League opponents.
• The Reds have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last 10 night games.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Mets’ last eight night games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Reds’ last four games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Mets’ last eight games.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the last eight games between the Mets and Reds at Great American Ball Park.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

• Spencer Steer has hit a home run in three of the Reds’ last five home games against the Mets.
• Brady Singer has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last five home appearances.
• Miguel Andujar has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a winning record.
• Brady Singer has recorded a win in each of his last four home appearances.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Pete Alonso has hit a home run in each of the Mets’ last three night games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets’ last 17 games as favorites against NL opponents.
• Jesse Winker has recorded a Double in five of his last six appearances at Great American Ball Park against NL opponents that held a losing record.

Reds vs Mets Prediction 

New York got the close win on Friday to start this series and their offense has been hitting the ball very well over the last four games. The Mets are 31-38 on the road this year, while the Reds are 38-34 at home. Cincinnati continues to fall apart and they are starting Singer, who has allowed one earned run or fewer in three of his last four starts. New York is going with Tong, who allowed six hits and one earned run in his first start against Miami. I like how the Mets are hitting the ball right now and I think fading Cincinnati has to be the play with how they are looking. Take the Mets here.