Reds vs Nationals Prediction Prediction 8/8/26 MLB Picks Today
Cincinnati Reds (56-59) vs. Washington Nationals (57-61)
August 8, 2026 6:45 pm EDT
The Line: Washington Nationals 131 / Cincinnati Reds -140; Over/Under: 8.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate a Reds vs Nationals Prediction for this MLB matchup on Saturday, August 8th in the second game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Washington Nationals Preview
The Washington Nationals have a 57-61 record this season and are sitting in the 4th place of the NL East. They have a 24-34 home record and are coming off a 5-3 home win against the Reds. They will face the Cubs and the Mets next.
The Washington Nationals have a .250 batting average this season, .327 OBP and .439 Slugging percentage. Washington’s pitching staff has a 4.76 ERA and 1.40 WHIP. CJ Abrams is the team’s best hitter with a .287 batting average, leading the team in RBI with 88, while James Wood adds a team-high 30 home runs.
Andrew Alvarez (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Nationals, and he has a 2-3 record, 3.94 ERA and 1.45 WHIP.
Cincinnati Reds Preview
The Cincinnati Reds have a 56-59 record this season and are sitting in the 4th place of the NL Central. They have a 27-28 away record and are coming off a 3-5 road loss against the Nationals. They will face the White Sox and the Marlins next.
The Cincinnati Reds have a .230 batting average this season, .310 OBP and .400 Slugging percentage. Cincinnati’s pitching staff has a 4.42 ERA and 1.40 WHIP. Elly De La Cruz is the team’s best hitter with a .277 batting average. Sal Stewart leads the team in RBI with 87, adding a team-high 25 home runs.
Chase Burns (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Reds, and he has a 13-1 record, 2.35 ERA and 1.10 WHIP.
Cincinnati Reds @ Washington Nationals Betting Trends: August 8, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Andrew Alvarez Record this season: 2-3 ERA: 3.94
- Home Record: 1-2
- Last 5 against Reds: –
Why the Washington Nationals will win
- The Reds have lost each of their last six Saturday games as road favorites against NL East opponents.
- The Nationals have won four of their last five games as home underdogs against the Reds.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six night games against the Nationals following a loss.
- The Nationals have covered the run line in each of their last seven Saturday games as underdogs against the Reds.
- The Nationals have led after 5 innings in five of their last six home games.
- The Nationals have won the first inning in each of their last four night games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Reds have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last six Saturday games as road favorites.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Chase Burns Record this season: 13-1 ERA: 2.35
- Road Record: 6-0
- Last 5 against Nationals: 1-1
Why the Cincinnati Reds will win
- The Reds have won each of their last seven games following a loss.
- The Nationals have lost seven of their last eight games following a home win.
- The Reds have covered the run line in each of their last seven games following a loss.
- The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games following a home win.
- The Nationals have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last seven games as underdogs.
- The Reds have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games as favorites against NL East opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Reds’ last six road games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Five of the Nationals’ last six games as home underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Nationals’ last seven night games.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in nine of the Reds’ last 10 games as road favorites.
Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts
- Daylen Lile has hit at least one home run in three of the Nationals’ last four games against the Reds.
- Andrew Alvarez has recorded five or more strikeouts in nine of his last 10 appearances with the Nationals as underdogs.
- Daylen Lile has recorded at least one hit in each of the Nationals’ last nine night games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Nasim Nunez ranks 1st in the league in Steals (40) this season.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- JJ Bleday has hit at least one home run in three of the Reds’ last four games as favorites against NL East opponents.
- Chase Burns has recorded a win in each of his last five appearances against NL East opponents.
- Chase Burns has recorded six or more strikeouts in nine of his last 10 road appearances.
- Elly De La Cruz has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last 12 road games against NL opponents.
- Chase Burns ranks 3rd in the league for Wins (13) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Nationals rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (628).
- The Nationals rank 1st in the league for home runs this season (170).
- The Reds rank 30th in the league for hits this season (881).
- The Reds rank 29th in the league for batting average this season (.230).
Reds vs Nationals Prediction
The Nationals are 7-2 in their last 9 meetings against the Reds and are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings in Washington.
In this Reds vs Nationals Prediction, the Reds are coming as -140 road favorites. I like the Reds in this one with Chase Burns on the mound, who has been red-hot lately with just two earned runs across his last three starts. He has been undefeated on the road with a 6-0 record and 2.51 ERA, while Alvarez has been weaker at home for the Nats with a 4.63 ERA. The Reds have both a better offense and a better bullpen in their last 5 games, so take the Reds on the moneyline on the road.