Reds vs Orioles Prediction 7/3/26 MLB Picks Today

The Baltimore Orioles and Cincinnati Reds meet Friday in MLB action at Great American Ball Park. Here’s a Reds vs Orioles Prediction. This article will include a Reds vs Orioles Pick.

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 40-48 on the year and play the Cubs and Royals next. The Baltimore Orioles are batting .239 on the season and have a .319 OBP and a .397 slugging percentage. The Baltimore Orioles’ pitching staff has a 4.39 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP. Gunnar Henderson leads the Baltimore Orioles with 82 hits and 39 RBI, while Taylor Ward and Pete Alonso have combined for 163 hits and 82 RBI.

Trevor Rogers gets the ball for the Baltimore Orioles, and he is 5-7 with a 4.99 ERA and 61 strikeouts this season. Rogers is 0-1 with a 7.71 ERA and 9 strikeouts in his career against the Cincinnati Reds.

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

The Cincinnati Reds are 40-46 on the year and play the Cubs and Phillies next. The Cincinnati Reds are batting. 229 on the season, have a .309 OBP, and have a .391 slugging percentage. The Cincinnati Reds’ pitching staff has a 4.59 ERA and a 1.46 WHIP. Sal Stewart leads the Cincinnati Reds with 84 hits and 60 RBI, while Elly De La Cruz and Spencer Steer have combined for 140 hits and 74 RBI.

Brady Singer gets the ball for the Cincinnati Reds, and he is 3-7 with a 5.12 ERA and 65 strikeouts this season. Singer is 0-2 with a 15.63 ERA and 5 strikeouts in his career against the Baltimore Orioles.

Why the Cincinnati Reds will win

• The Orioles have lost each of their last six games as road favorites against National League opponents following a win.
• The underdogs have won seven of the last eight games between the Orioles and Reds.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as road favorites against National League opponents following a win.
• The Reds have covered the run line in seven of their last eight night games against AL East opponents following a road win.
• The Orioles have trailed after 5 innings in 10 of their last 11 night games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Reds have won the first inning in three of their last four games.
• The Orioles have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six road games against NL Central opponents.

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

• The Reds have lost each of their last six night games after playing the previous day.
• The Orioles have won each of their last four games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven night games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
• The road team has covered the run line in seven of the last eight games between the Orioles and Reds.
• The Orioles have led after 5 innings in four of their last five road games.
• The Reds have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last seven night games against American League opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the last four games between the Orioles and Reds has gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Orioles’ last four games as favorites against the Reds has gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Orioles’ last seven games as road favorites against NL Central opponents.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Reds’ last seven Friday games against American League opponents.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

• Brady Singer has recorded a win in each of his last three home appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Brady Singer has recorded five or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances with the Reds as underdogs.
• Elly De La Cruz has recorded at least one hit in 20 of his last 21 appearances against AL opponents.
• Nathaniel Lowe has hit at least one home run in each of the Reds’ last three games as home underdogs against AL opponents.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Taylor Ward has hit a home run in two of the Orioles’ last three games as road favorites.
• Gunnar Henderson has recorded two or more hits in each of the Orioles’ last five games as road favorites against NL opponents.
• Trevor Rogers has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances against NL opponents.
• Trevor Rogers has recorded a win in four of his last five road appearances against NL opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Reds rank 29th in the league for hits this season (659).
• The Reds rank 29th in the league for batting average this season (.228).
• The Orioles rank 27th in the league for strikeouts against this season (809).
• The Orioles rank 5th in the league for walks this season (334).

Reds vs Orioles Prediction

I’m not running to the window to back either of these pitchers. Rogers has a 4.99 ERA and 1.31 WHIP, while Singer has a 5.12 ERA and 1.54 WHIP. Rogers is coming off a strong June, but he still has a 4.94 ERA and a .243 allowed batting average on the road. Both pitching staffs have been getting rocked this week. I don’t expect anything different here. Give me the over.