Reds vs Phillies Prediction 7/9/26 MLB Picks Today

The Philadelphia Phillies and Cincinnati Reds meet Thursday in MLB action at Great American Ball Park. Here’s a Reds vs Phillies Prediction. This article will include a Reds vs Phillies Pick.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 51-42 on the year and play the Tigers next. The Philadelphia Phillies are batting .238 on the season, with a .305 OBP and a .404 slugging percentage. The Philadelphia Phillies’ pitching staff has a 4.29 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP. Brandon Marsh leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 99 hits and 46 RBI, while Bryce Harper and Trea Turner have combined for 176 hits and 89 RBI.

Jesus Luzardo gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he is 7-4 with a 3.75 ERA and 125 strikeouts this season. Luzardo is 1-3 with a 4.26 ERA and 22 strikeouts in his career against the Cincinnati Reds.

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

The Cincinnati Reds are 42-49 on the year and play the Cubs next. The Cincinnati Reds are batting. 228 on the season, have a .310 OBP, and have a .392 slugging percentage. The Cincinnati Reds’ pitching staff has a 4.57 ERA and a 1.46 WHIP. Sal Stewart leads the Cincinnati Reds with 89 hits and 64 RBI, while Elly De La Cruz and Spencer Steer have combined for 151 hits and 79 RBI.

Brady Singer gets the ball for the Cincinnati Reds, and he is 3-8 with a 5.03 ERA and 71 strikeouts this season. Singer is 1-1 with a 4.09 ERA and 11 strikeouts in his career against the Philadelphia Phillies.

Why the Cincinnati Reds will win

• The Phillies have lost four of their last five games as road favorites against NL Central opponents following a loss.
• The Reds have won four of their last six games as underdogs against the Phillies.
• The Reds have covered the run line in six of their last seven games against the Phillies.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven road games after playing the previous day.
• The Phillies have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games at Great American Ball Park.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Phillies have won each of their last 10 games against National League opponents following a road loss.
• The Reds have lost nine of their last 10 home games following a win.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 night games following a road loss.
• The Reds have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven home games following a home win.
• The Phillies have led after 3 innings in each of their last seven games as favorites against National League opponents.
• The Phillies have led after 5 innings in four of their last five night games.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Reds’ last five night games as underdogs has gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Four of the Phillies’ last five games as favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Reds’ last six home games against National League opponents.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in seven of the Phillies’ last eight games against National League opponents.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

• JJ Bleday has hit a home run in three of the Reds’ last four night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Brady Singer has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances with the Reds as a home underdog against NL East opponents.
• Brady Singer has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last three appearances.
• Sal Stewart has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last 10 games against NL opponents.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Schwarber has hit at least one home run in four of the Phillies’ last five night games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Jesus Luzardo has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
• Jesus Luzardo has recorded eight or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances in night games.
• Kyle Schwarber has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies’ last nine night games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Kyle Schwarber ranks 1st in the league in Home Runs (32) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Reds rank 29th in the league for hits this season (695).
• The Reds rank 29th in the league for batting average this season (.228).
• The Phillies rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (905).
• The Phillies rank 28th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.305).

Reds vs Phillies Prediction

Luzardo has been at his best on the road this season through 58.1 innings, as he has a 1.54 ERA and .229 allowed batting average. Singer has been greatly improved over the last month or so, allowing 27 hits and 11 earned runs in his last 31.1 innings. At home through 41 innings, Singer has a 3.29 ERA and a .239 allowed batting average. The season numbers aren’t great, but these are two pitchers in solid form. High total. I expect a lower-scoring game. Give me the under.