Reds vs Rays Prediction 7/26/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Reds vs Rays prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, July 26th at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

The Cincinnati Reds are 54-50 this season after they won game one by a score of 7-2 on Friday night. Cincinnati trailed 2-1 in the fourth inning, but they scored the last six runs in the game to steal the victory. The Reds recorded 14 hits in the game and they were led by Stephenson, who went 2-5 with one home run and three RBIs in the win. Cincinnati started Martinez, who allowed four hits and two earned runs over 5.0 innings for the win, while Richardson and Ashcraft picked up holds. 

Prior to this series, the Reds lost two out of three against the Nationals, but did win two out of three against the Mets before that. Cincinnati has won six of their last nine games and they are currently third in the NL Central standings. The Cincinnati pitching staff has a 3.89 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .235 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 477 runs with a .248 batting average and a .321 on base percentage this season. Elly De La Cruz has led Cincinnati with 18 home runs and 65 RBIs, while Spencer Steer has added 11 home runs and 41 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Andrew Abbott, who is 8-1 with a 2.13 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP over 97.1 innings pitched this season. 

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 53-51 this year after they lost game one by a score of 7-2 on Friday. Tampa Bay led 2-1 in the fourth, but they went scoreless over the last five innings for the loss. The Rays recorded six hits in the game and they were led by Aranda and Walls, who both had one RBI in the loss. TB started Littell, who allowed 10 hits and five earned runs over 6.0 innings for the loss, while Seymour allowed two earned runs in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Rays lost two out of three against the White Sox, but did win two out of three against the Orioles before that. Tampa Bay has lost four of their last five games and they are currently fourth in the AL East standings. The Tampa Bay pitching staff has a 3.88 ERA with a 1.21 WHIP and a .239 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 485 runs with a .257 batting average and a .322 on base percentage this season. Junior Caminero has led Tampa Bay with 26 home runs and 68 RBIs, while Brandon Lowe has added 19 home runs and 50 RBIs for the Rays this year. The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Ryan Pepiot, who is 6-8 with a 3.59 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP over 120.1 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Reds will beat the Rays

• The Rays have lost eight of their last nine games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Reds have won seven of their last eight night games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Rays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games.
• The Reds have covered the run line in seven of their last eight night games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Rays have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• The Rays have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Reds’ last nine games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Thirteen of the Rays’ last 15 games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rays’ last six road games against National League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the last nine games between the Rays and Reds at Great American Ball Park.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

• TJ Friedl has hit a home run in each of the Reds’ last two games as home favorites.
• Austin Hays has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances with his team as a favorite against AL East opponents.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

• Yandy Diaz has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances against the Reds after playing the previous day.
• Taylor Walls has recorded a Double in three of the Rays’ last four games.
• Brandon Lowe has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.

Reds vs Rays Prediction 

Cincinnati was able to get a nice win on Friday night and they will look for their third straight win here. The Reds are 29-22 at home this year, while the Rays are 22-23 on the road. Tampa Bay has allowed at least seven runs in three of their last four games and they are starting Pepiot, who has allowed 13 hits and eight earned runs in his last 12.0 innings. The Reds are going with Abbott, who continues to be one of the top pitchers in the MLB. Take Cincinnati to win here.