Reds vs Red Sox Prediction 3/29/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Reds vs Red Sox prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, March 29th at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

The Cincinnati Reds are 1-1 this season after they won game two in this series by a score of 6-5 in extra innings on Saturday. Cincinnati led 3-0 in the second inning and 5-3 in the fifth, but they blew the lead, before winning in the 11th. The Reds recorded 10 hits in the game and they were led by Stewart, who went 2-4 with one home run and two RBIs. Singer allowed five hits and three earned runs over 4.0 innings in the no decision, while Pagan blew the save and Phillips picked up the win. 

Last season, Cincinnati had a 3.86 ERA with a 1.22 WHIP and a .233 opponent batting average, while they scored 716 runs with a .245 batting average and a .315 on base percentage. Elly De La Cruz led the team with 22 home runs and 86 RBIs, while Spencer Steer added 21 home runs and 75 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Rhett Lowder, who went 2-2 with a 1.17 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP over 30.2 innings pitched in 2024. 

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 1-1 this year after they won game one in this series by a score of 3-0. In their game two loss, Boston trailed for eight innings, but they rallied to tie the game in the ninth, before failing to score in the 10th or 11th inning in the loss. The Red Sox recorded eight hits and they committed one error, while they were led by Abreu, who went 2-5 with one home run and two RBIs. Gray allowed six hits and three earned runs over 4.0 innings in the no decision, while Slaten picked up the loss in extras. 

Last season, Boston had a 3.70 ERA with a 1.29 WHIP and a .243 opponent batting average, while they scored 786 runs with a .254 batting average and a .324 on base percentage. Trevor Story led the team with 25 home runs and 96 RBIs, while Jarren Duran added 16 home runs and 84 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Connelly Early, who went 1-2 with a 2.33 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP over 19.1 innings pitched last year. 

Why the Cincinnati Reds will win

• The Reds have won each of their last eight Sunday games at Great American Ball Park.
• The Red Sox have lost five of their last six games as road favorites following an extra innings loss.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as road favorites after going to extra innings.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in 10 of the Reds’ last 12 games at Great American Ball Park.
• The Reds have won the first inning in three of their last four games as underdogs against the Red Sox at Great American Ball Park.
• The Red Sox have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six road games against National League opponents.
• The Red Sox have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last seven road games against National League opponents.

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

• The Red Sox have won each of their last 13 Sunday day games against NL Central opponents.
• The Reds have lost six of their last seven games against American League opponents.
• The Reds have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against American League opponents.
• The Red Sox have covered the run line in each of their last seven Sunday road games against NL Central opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Red Sox’s last six games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Eight of the Reds’ last nine games after going to extra innings have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Reds’ last seven home games.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Red Sox’s last seven games as road favorites.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

• Jose Trevino has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances against the Red Sox after playing the previous day.
• JJ Bleday has recorded at least one hit in each of his last six home appearances against the Red Sox.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Roman Anthony has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances with the Red Sox as road favorites.
• Triston Casas has hit a home run in four of his last five road appearances against NL Central opponents.

Reds vs Red Sox Prediction 

Cincinnati was able to escape with a dramatic win in game two of this series on Saturday, but their bullpen did not look good in the later innings. The Reds are starting Lowder, who has only pitched 30.2 innings in his MLB career. The Red Sox are going with Early, who has only pitched 19.1 innings, but he has some very strong numbers in the limited action. We are going to learn a lot about each pitcher in this one, but I lean the Red Sox to get the win.