Reds vs Twins Prediction 6/17/25 MLB Picks Today

The Minnesota Twins and the Cincinnati Reds meet Tuesday in MLB action from Great American Ballpark. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Reds vs Twins Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Minnesota Twins will send out David Festa for the start here, and Festa is 1-1 with a 4.76 ERA and 25 strikeouts this season. This will be Festa’s second career start against the Reds. The Cincinnati Reds will trot out Andrew Abbott for the start here, and Abbott is 6-1 with a 1.87 ERA and 64 strikeouts this season. This will be Abbott’s first career start against the Twins.

Minnesota Twins Recap

The Minnesota Twins come into this game looking to rebound from a 2-1 loss at the hands of the Houston Astros last time out to sit at 36-35 on the year. After this series, the Twins will head home for a series against the Milwaukee Brewers.

Twins Lose 4^th In A Row

Byron Buxton has 56 hits along with 8 doubles, a team-high 11 home runs, and 41 RBIs with 12 stolen bases and 3 triples, while Carlos Correa has 54 hits with 13 doubles, and Willi Castro has 51 hits with 11 doubles as well. Harrison Bader added 6 home runs and 24 RBIs while Buxton contributed a team-high 66 strikeouts as well this season. Ty France has also added 68 hits, 11 doubles, 5 home runs, and 37 RBIs, and Trevor Larnach chipped in 63 hits with 9 doubles, 10 home runs, and 32 RBIs as well this season.

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

• The Reds have lost nine of their last 10 games as home favorites against AL Central opponents following a win.
• The underdogs have won each of the Reds’ last four games at Great American Ball Park.
• The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 13 Tuesday games as favorites against American League opponents.
• The Twins have covered the run line in 12 of their last 13 games as underdogs against NL Central opponents following a road loss.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

• Willi Castro has recorded a Double in each of the Twins’ last four games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• Ty France has recorded at least one hit in each of the Twins’ last 13 night games.
• Trevor Larnach has hit a home run in three of his last four road appearances after not playing the previous day.
• Trevor Larnach has scored a run in each of his last eight road appearances after not playing the previous day.
• Trevor Larnach has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four road appearances after not playing the previous day.

Cincinnati Reds Recap

The Cincinnati Reds come into this game looking to build on their 8-4 win over the Detroit Tigers last time out to sit at 37-35 on the year. After this series, the Reds will head on the road for a series against the St. Louis Cardinals.

Reds Win Back-To-Back Games & 7 Of Their Last 9

Elly De La Cruz has 75 hits with 16 home runs, 50 RBIs, 14 doubles, and 20 stolen bases, while TJ Friedl has 75 hits with 11 doubles, 8 home runs, and 26 RBIs with 9 stolen bases. Gavin Lux has added 59 hits with a team-high 14 doubles and 29 RBIs, while Spencer Steer has 5 home runs and 22 RBIs, and Matt McLain has added 8 homers, 25 RBIs, and 11 stolen bases as well on the year. Jose Trevino’s also chipped in 15 doubles this season.

Why the Cincinnati Reds will win

• The Twins have lost eight of their last nine games after going to extra innings.
• The Reds have won each of their last four home games against American League opponents.
• The Reds have covered the run line in eight of their last nine home games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Twins have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight night games after going to extra innings.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

• Elly De La Cruz has recorded a Double in three of the Reds’ last four night games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Elly De La Cruz has hit a home run in each of the Reds’ last four games against AL Central opponents.
• Elly De La Cruz has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Reds’ last four games against AL Central opponents.
• TJ Friedl has scored a run in each of the Reds’ last four games.
• TJ Friedl has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last 11 night games.
• Elly De La Cruz ranks T6th in the league in Steals (20) this season.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Reds’ last six home games against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Twins’ last five night games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.

Reds vs Twins Prediction

I’m on the Reds here. I get the case to be made for the Twins, but David Festa might be my least favorite option of any starters that the Twins throw out there, and his lone road start was nothing short of catastrophic. Now you put him at hitter-friendly Great American Ballpark, against a Reds’ lineup that’s starting to heat up at the plate, and I think it’s bad news for the Twins here. Give me the Reds.