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Reds vs White Sox Prediction 8/12/26 MLB Picks Today

Cincinnati Reds (57-61) vs. Chicago White Sox (61-57)
August 12, 2026 7:40 pm EDT
The Line: Chicago White Sox -139 / Cincinnati Reds 130; Over/Under: 9
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Reds vs White Sox Prediction for this MLB matchup on Wednesday, August 12th in the second game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Chicago White Sox Preview

The Chicago White Sox have a 61-57 record this season and are sitting in 1st place in the AL Central. They have a 36-23 home record and are coming off a 4-5 home loss against the Reds. They will face the Tigers and the Cubs next.

The Chicago White Sox have a .236 batting average this season, a .316 OBP, and a .406 slugging percentage. The White Sox’ pitching staff has a 4.10 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP. Chase Meidroth leads the White Sox with a .274 batting average, Munetaka Murakami leads the team 26 home runs, and Miguel Vargas leads the team with a team-high 68 RBI.

Luis Castillo (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the White Sox, and he has a 3-9 record, a 5.30 ERA, and a 1.41 WHIP.

Cincinnati Reds Preview

The Cincinnati Reds have a 57-61 record this season and are sitting in 4th place in the NL Central. They have a 28-30 away record and are coming off a 5-4 away win against the White Sox. They will face the Marlins and the Cardinals next.

The Cincinnati Reds have a .228 batting average this season, a .308 OBP, and a .396 slugging percentage. The Reds’ pitching staff has a 4.47 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP. Elly De La Cruz leads the Reds with a .271 batting average, while Sal Stewart leads the team with 25 home runs and a team-high 87 RBI.

Rhett Lowder (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Reds, and he has a 4-7 record, a 5.26 ERA, and a 1.48 WHIP.

Cincinnati Reds @ the Chicago White Sox Betting Trends: August 12, 2026

 

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Luis Castillo      Record this season: 3-9      ERA: 5.30
  • Home Record: 1-4
  • Last 5 against Reds: 0-2

Why the Chicago White Sox will win

  • The Reds have lost each of their last eight Wednesday games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The White Sox have won eight of their last nine games after going to extra innings.
  • The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight night games against American League opponents following a win.
  • The White Sox have covered the run line in 10 of their last 11 home games against National League opponents following a loss.
  • The White Sox have won the first inning in three of their last four games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • The White Sox have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
  • The Reds have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last eight Wednesday games against American League opponents that held a winning record.

 

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Rhett Lowder      Record this season: 4-7      ERA: 5.26
  • Road Record: 2-6
  • Last 5 against White Sox: –

Why the Cincinnati Reds will win

  • The White Sox have lost each of their last 11 home games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Reds have won four of their last five games as underdogs against American League opponents.
  • The White Sox have failed to cover the run line in 13 of their last 14 home games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • The road team has covered the run line in seven of the last eight games between the Reds and White Sox.
  • The Reds have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games at Rate Field.
  • The White Sox have trailed after 5 innings in nine of their last 12 home games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Reds’ last six road games against AL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Seven of the White Sox’s last eight games against NL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the White Sox’s last eight games against NL Central opponents.
  • There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in four of the Reds’ last five games against AL Central opponents.

Chicago White Sox Player Prop Facts

  • Luis Castillo has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Luis Castillo has recorded six or more strikeouts in eight of his last nine appearances with his team as a home favorite against NL Central opponents.
  • Munetaka Murakami has recorded at least one hit in each of the White Sox’s last 11 home games.
  • Brenton Doyle has hit a home run in each of his last three appearances in night games against NL Central teams that held a losing record.
  • Colson Montgomery ranks T10th in the league in Home Runs (26) this season.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

  • Eugenio Suarez has hit a home run in each of the Reds’ last three night games.
  • Elly De La Cruz has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last 17 road games against AL Central opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The White Sox rank 26th in the league for hits this season (936).
  • The White Sox rank T5th in the league for home runs this season (155).
  • The Reds rank 30th in the league for hits this season (897).
  • The Reds rank 29th in the league for batting average this season (.228).

Reds vs White Sox Prediction

The Reds are 5-2 in their last 7 meetings against the White Sox and have won their last four visits in Chicago.

In this Reds vs White Sox Prediction, the White Sox are coming as -140 home favorites. I don’t like either pitcher in this matchup, as they both have a combined 10.56 ERA and Lowder has been even weaker on the road with a 7.71 road ERA. Yesterday’s game had 9 total runs and the White Sox are 6-2 to the over in their last 8 games. Take the over 9 in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Free Pick: Over 9

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