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Rockies vs. Diamondbacks Pick – MLB Predictions & Odds 4/28/23

Arizona Diamondbacks (14-12) vs. Colorado Rockies (8-18)
April 28, 2023 8:40 pm EDT
The Line: Colorado Rockies +115 / Arizona Diamondbacks -135; Over/Under: +11.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Arizona Diamondbacks and the Colorado Rockies meet in an NL West division matchup in MLB action from Coors Field on Friday. Let’s dive into the odds, starting pitching matchup, history and make a prediction for this game.

Odds

Arizona is a -135 road favorite while Colorado is a +115 home underdog. The total for this game is set at 11.5 runs.

Starting Pitching Matchup

Merrill Kelly will start for Arizona and is 1-3 with a 3.42 ERA and 25 strikeouts this season. Kyle Freeland will get the nod for Colorado and is 2-2 with a 4.28 ERA and 18 strikeouts this season.

Matchup History

Arizona’s 12-6 win over Colorado on September 11th, 2022, snapped Colorado’s two-game head-to-head win streak in this matchup.

Trends

Arizona is 51-106 in their last 157 road games and 18-47 in their last 65 games against a team with a right-handed starter while the under is 2-0-2 in their last 4 Friday games. Colorado is 0-5 in their last 5 home games and 2-12 in their last 14 games against a team with a right-handed starter while the under is 6-1 in their last 7 games overall.

Pick

I’m backing the D-Backs here. I like Merrill Kelly and while Kelly has had his issues historically in his career at Coors Field, the reality is that Kelly woke up last season against the Rockies and even threw seven shutout innings at Coors. Kyle Freeland has historically struggled at home in his Rockies tenure and I don’t see that changing here. The D-Backs are a much improved team compared to last year and I think they show it here. Give me the D-Backs.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Arizona -135

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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