Rockies vs Giants Prediction 7/11/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Rockies vs Giants Prediction for this MLB matchup on Saturday, July 11^th in the second game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

San Francisco Giants Preview

The San Francisco Giants have a 39-55 record this season and are sitting in the 4th place of the NL West. They have a 20-25 home record and are coming off a 3-4 home loss against the Rockies. They will face the Mariners and the Royals next.

The San Francisco Giants have a .256 batting average this season, .310 OBP and .422 Slugging percentage. San Francisco’s pitching staff has a 4.53 ERA and 1.38 WHIP. Luis Arraez is the team’s best hitter with a .331 batting average. Rafael Devers leads the team in RBI with 52, adding a team-high 19 home runs.

Tyler Mahle (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the San Francisco Giants, and he has a 1-8 record, 5.70 ERA and 1.49 WHIP.

Colorado Rockies Preview

The Colorado Rockies have a 39-57 record this season and are sitting in the 5th place of the NL West. They have a 17-32 away record and are coming off a 4-3 road win against the Giants. They will face the Reds and the Nationals next.

The Colorado Rockies have a .257 batting average this season, .328 OBP and .422 Slugging percentage. Colorado’s pitching staff has a 5.47 ERA and 1.52 WHIP. Troy Johnston is the team’s best hitter with a .307 batting average. Jake McCarthy leads the team in RBI with 52, while Hunter Goodman adds a team-high 27 home runs.

Kyle Freeland (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Colorado Rockies, and he has a 2-7 record, 7.46 ERA and 1.61 WHIP.

Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants Betting Trends: July 11, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Tyler Mahle      Record this season: 1-8      ERA: 5.70
• Home Record: 1-3
• Last 5 against Rockies: 2-1

Why the San Francisco Giants will win

• The Giants have won each of their last 12 home games against the Rockies following a home loss.
• The Rockies have lost each of their last 10 road games against the Giants following a road win.
• The Giants have covered the run line in each of their last five day games against the Rockies following a home loss.
• The Rockies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four day games at Oracle Park following a win.
• The Rockies have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last nine games at Oracle Park against opponents that held a losing record.
• The Giants have led after 5 innings in each of their last 13 day games against the Rockies.
• The Rockies have lost the first inning in eight of their last 10 road games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Kyle Freeland      Record this season: 2-7      ERA: 7.46
• Road Record: 0-5
• Last 5 against Giants: 0-3

Why the Colorado Rockies will win

• The Giants have lost five of their last six games as home favorites against NL West opponents.
• The road team has won three of the Giants’ last four games.
• The Giants have failed to cover the run line each of their last eight Saturday day games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Rockies have covered the run line in seven of their last eight road games.
• The Rockies have led after 3 innings in four of their last five day games against National League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Giants’ last eight home games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Seven of the Rockies’ last eight day games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in eight of the Giants’ last nine games as home favorites.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Rockies’ last four day games.

San Francisco Giants Player Prop Facts

• Willy Adames has hit at least one home run in four of the Giants’ last six home games against the Rockies.
• Rafael Devers has recorded at least one hit in each of the Giants’ last 11 games against NL opponents.
• Luis Arraez ranks 2nd in the league in Hits (117) this season.

Colorado Rockies Player Prop Facts

• Hunter Goodman has hit at least one home run in nine of his last 20 road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Kyle Freeland has recorded five or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances in day games against NL West teams that held a losing record.
• TJ Rumfield has recorded at least one hit in each of the Rockies’ last 16 games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Hunter Goodman ranks 5th in the league in Home Runs (27) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Giants rank T1st in the league for doubles this season (177).
• The Giants rank 30th in the league for walks this season (234).
• The Rockies rank T1st in the league for doubles this season (177).
• The Rockies rank 30th in the league for ERA this season (5.47).

Rockies vs Giants Prediction

Both teams are tied 5-5 in their last 10 meetings but the Giants are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings in San Francisco.

In this Rockies vs Giants, the Giants are coming as -150 home favorites. Both pitchers have been bad this season with a combined 13.16 ERA and Freeland has an 8.31 road ERA and Mahle has given up 3+ runs in six of his last seven starts. Both teams have bottom-10 bullpens this season and in the last 10 days, the Rockies are the best hitting team against righties and the Giants the second-best against lefties. Take the over 8.5 in this one.