Rockies vs Mets Prediction 5/4/26 MLB Picks Today
NY Mets (12-22) vs. Colorado Rockies (14-21)
May 4, 2026 5:40 pm EDT
The Line: Colorado Rockies 123 / NY Mets -149; Over/Under: 10.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The New York Mets and Colorado Rockies meet Monday in MLB action at Coors Field. Here’s a Rockies vs. Mets Prediction. This article will include a Rockies vs. Mets Pick.
New York Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets are 12-22 on the year and play the Diamondbacks and Tigers next. The New York Mets are batting. 227 on the season, have a .290 OBP, and have a .343 slugging percentage. The New York Mets pitching staff has a 3.97 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP. Bo Bichette leads the New York Mets with 34 hits and 15 RBI, while Juan Soto and Marcus Semien have combined for 48 hits and 19 RBI.
The New York Mets didn’t announce a starting pitcher at the time this article was published.
Colorado Rockies Betting Preview
The Colorado Rockies are 14-21 on the year and play the Pirates and Phillies next. The Colorado Rockies are batting .253 on the season and have a .323 OBP, and a .402 slugging percentage. The Colorado Rockies pitching staff has a 4.61 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP. Troy Johnston leads the Colorado Rockies with 34 hits and 16 RBI while TJ Rumfield and Mickey Moniak have combined for 66 hits and 40 RBI.
Tomoyuki Sugano gets the ball for the Colorado Rockies, and he is 3-1 with a 2.84 ERA and 21 strikeouts this season. This will be Sugano’s second career game against the New York Mets.
Why the Colorado Rockies will win
- The Mets have lost each of their last six games as road favorites following a win.
- The underdogs have won four of the Mets’ last five games.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as favorites following a road win.
- The Rockies have covered the run line each of their last four games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Mets have lost the first inning in four of their last five games.
- The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five road night games.
Why the New York Mets will win
- The Rockies have lost 15 of their last 16 home games against NL East opponents.
- The road team has won each of the last six games between the Mets and Rockies.
- The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last 11 road games against NL West opponents following a win.
- The Rockies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games.
- The Rockies have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last six night games against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Mets have led after 5 innings in five of their last six road games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Rockies’ last six games has gone OVER the total runs line.
- Eight of the Mets’ last nine road games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last seven games between the Mets and Rockies.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last four games as road favorites.
Colorado Rockies Player Prop Facts
- Hunter Goodman has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
- Hunter Goodman has hit at least one home run in four of the Rockies’ last five Monday night games against opponents that held a losing record.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Juan Soto has hit a home run in each of the Mets’ last two night games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in 12 of his last 13 appearances against the Rockies.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Rockies rank 29th in the league for strikeouts against this season (335).
- The Rockies rank T3rd in the league for doubles this season (64).
- The Mets rank 30th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.343).
- The Mets rank 29th in the league for runs scored this season (118).
Rockies vs Mets Prediction
It would be nice to know who the Mets are throwing out on the mound, but who cares. The Mets continue to underachieve and lose bettors money. You shouldn’t be backing this team. The Rockies are at home and have played above their level up to this point. Sugano has also pitched solidly through 31.2 innings with a 2.84 ERA and 1.17 WHIP. We’re getting plus money to fade the Mets. I’ll take it.